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UEFA Europa League
UEFA Europa League World
11.12.2025 20:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Europa League

FC Porto - Malmo FF

World Football
FC Porto
FC Porto
2 : 1
Finished
Malmo FF
Malmo FF

FC Porto meet Malmo FF on December 11, 2025 in the UEFA Europa League, World.

Recent form (W-D-L): FC Porto 3-1-1, Malmo FF 0-1-4. Sportsbooks lean towards FC Porto, an implied 78% to win. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction FC Porto - Malmo FF December 11, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like FC Porto.

Line favourite market consensus: FC Porto. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.20 / X 6.46 / 2 13.84
  • 1X2 market: FC Porto 78.4% / X 14.7% / Malmo FF 6.9%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 58.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.0%
1 78.6%
X 14.6%
2 6.8%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.0%
Over 2.5 58.4%
Under 2.5 41.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 11.12.2025 20:00 UTC
Market 1 78.6% @ 1.20 / X 14.6% @ 6.46 / 2 6.8% @ 13.84
Match center

FC Porto - Malmo FF

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
X 6.46 market consensus · line only
1 1.20 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 4.51 market consensus · line only
12 1.11 market consensus · line only
1X 1.04 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 4.50 market consensus · line only
2 -1 3.56 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 9.50 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.19 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.63 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.29 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.55 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.36 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.21 82.6% 1.18 84.8% 1.23 81.3% 1.20 83.3% 1.20 83.3% 1.24 80.7%
X 6.00 16.7% 5.70 17.5% 7.02 14.3% 6.00 16.7% 6.50 15.4% 6.40 15.6%
14.00 7.1% 10.50 9.5% 16.50 6.1% 13.00 7.7% 12.00 8.3% 17.00 5.9%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.55 64.5% 1.53 65.4% 1.54 64.9% 1.57 63.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.57 63.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.56 64.1%
yes 2.30 43.5% 2.47 40.5% 2.34 42.7% 2.30 43.5% 2.38 42.0% 2.30 43.5% 2.30 43.5% 2.34 42.7% 2.50 40.0%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 4.33 23.1% 4.68 21.4% 4.40 22.7% 4.33 23.1% 4.45 22.5% 4.75 21.1%
home_away 1.11 90.1% 1.13 88.5% 1.13 88.5% 1.11 90.1% 1.12 89.3% 1.12 89.3%
home_draw 1.03 97.1% 1.03 97.1% 1.04 96.2% 1.05 95.2% 1.04 96.2% 1.03 97.1%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.04 96.2% 1.02 98.0%
Over 1.0 1.02 98.0%
Over 1.25 1.07 93.5%
Over 1.5 1.20 83.3% 1.16 86.2%
Over 1.75 1.21 82.6%
Over 2.0 1.26 79.4%
Over 2.5 1.62 61.7%
Over 2.75 1.88 53.2%
Over 3.5 2.55 39.2%
Over 4.5 4.50 22.2%
Under 0.5 10.00 10.0%
Under 1.5 4.33 23.1%
Under 2.5 2.25 44.4%
Under 2.75 2.01 49.8%
Under 3.5 1.50 66.7%
Under 4.5 1.20 83.3%
Match center
FC Porto
W D L W W
27.11 17:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
FC Porto 3:0 NiceNice
06.11 17:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
FC Porto 1:1 UtrechtUtrecht
23.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
FC Porto 0:2 Nottingem ForestNottingem Forest
02.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
FC Porto 2:1 FK Crvena Zvezda
25.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
FC Porto 1:0 Red Bull SalzburgRed Bull Salzburg
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.4 Scored
0.8 Conceded
10 Points
Malmo FF
L L D L L
27.11 20:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Malmo FF 0:3 Nottingem ForestNottingem Forest
06.11 17:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
Malmo FF 0:1 PanathinaikosPanathinaikos
23.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Malmo FF 1:1 Dinamo ZagrebDinamo Zagreb
02.10 16:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
Malmo FF 0:3 Plzen
24.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Malmo FF 1:2 LudogoretsLudogorets
0 Wins
1 Draws
4 Losses
0.4 Scored
2.0 Conceded
1 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyFC Porto - Malmo FF

FC Porto
0 matches total
Malmo FF
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history