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Start
22.01.2026 17:45 UTC
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22.01.2026 17:45 UTC
Finished
UEFA Europa League
Fenerbahce - Aston Villa
0
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Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Fenerbahce - Aston Villa January 22, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Fenerbahce.
Line favourite market consensus: Fenerbahce. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.41 / X 3.47 / 2 2.83
- 1X2 market: Fenerbahce 39.3% / X 27.2% / Aston Villa 33.5%
- Total 2.5: over probability 54.5%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 5.6%
1
39.3%
X
27.3%
2
33.4%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 4.8%
Over 2.5
54.5%
Under 2.5
45.5%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Fenerbahce - Aston Villa
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
2.83
market consensus · line only
X
3.47
market consensus · line only
1
2.41
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
1.59
market consensus · line only
12
1.30
market consensus · line only
1X
1.41
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
1.59
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.27
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
2.77
market consensus · line only
2 +1
4.96
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.75
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
2.10
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
2.27
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.59
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.48 40.3% | 2.38 42.0% | 2.46 40.7% | 2.40 41.7% | 2.35 42.6% | 2.32 43.1% | |
| X | 3.40 29.4% | 3.50 28.6% | 3.64 27.5% | 3.30 30.3% | 3.50 28.6% | 3.35 29.9% |
| 2.75 36.4% | 2.64 37.9% | 3.00 33.3% | 2.75 36.4% | 2.90 34.5% | 2.82 35.5% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.30 43.5% | 2.34 42.7% | 2.26 44.3% | 2.20 45.5% | 2.20 45.5% | 2.27 44.1% | 2.30 43.5% | 2.25 44.4% | 2.39 41.8% |
| yes | 1.55 64.5% | 1.58 63.3% | 1.58 63.3% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.60 62.5% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.61 62.1% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.53 65.4% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.60 62.5% | 1.62 61.7% |
| home_away | 1.25 80.0% | 1.33 75.2% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.28 78.1% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.32 75.8% |
| home_draw | 1.42 70.4% | 1.44 69.4% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.44 69.4% | 1.43 69.9% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.05 95.2% | — | 1.00 100.0% |
| Over 0.75 | — | — | 1.00 100.0% |
| Over 1.0 | — | — | 1.00 100.0% |
| Over 1.25 | — | — | 1.10 90.9% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.25 80.0% | — | 1.20 83.3% |
| Over 1.75 | — | — | 1.25 80.0% |
| Over 2.5 | 1.70 58.8% | — | — |
| Over 2.75 | — | 1.97 50.8% | — |
| Over 3.5 | 2.75 36.4% | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 5.00 20.0% | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 9.50 10.5% | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 3.95 25.3% | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 2.10 47.6% | — | — |
| Under 2.75 | — | 1.92 52.1% | — |
| Under 3.5 | 1.44 69.4% | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 1.17 85.5% | — | — |
Match center
Fenerbahce
W
D
D
W
W
Fenerbahce
4:0
Brann
Brann
Fenerbahce
1:1
Ferentsvarosh
Ferentsvarosh
Fenerbahce
0:0
Plzen
Fenerbahce
1:0
VfB Stuttgart
VfB Stuttgart
Fenerbahce
2:1
Nice
Nice
3
Wins
2
Draws
0
Losses
1.6
Scored
0.4
Conceded
11
Points
Aston Villa
W
W
W
L
W
Aston Villa
2:1
FC Basel 1893
FC Basel 1893
Aston Villa
2:1
BSC Young Boys
BSC Young Boys
Aston Villa
2:0
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Aston Villa
1:2
GO Ahead Eagles
GO Ahead Eagles
Aston Villa
2:0
Feyenoord
Feyenoord
4
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
1.8
Scored
0.8
Conceded
12
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyFenerbahce - Aston Villa
Fenerbahce
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
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