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UEFA Europa League
UEFA Europa League World
23.10.2025 16:45 UTC Match prediction
23.10.2025 16:45 UTC
Finished

UEFA Europa League

Fenerbahce - VfB Stuttgart

World Football
Fenerbahce
Fenerbahce
1 : 0
Finished
VfB Stuttgart
VfB Stuttgart

Fenerbahce take on VfB Stuttgart on October 23, 2025 in the UEFA Europa League, World.

Recent form (W-D-L): Fenerbahce 2-2-1, VfB Stuttgart 1-0-1. The market favourite is Fenerbahce at roughly 40%. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Fenerbahce - VfB Stuttgart October 23, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Fenerbahce.

Line favourite Fonbet: Fenerbahce. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 2.40 / X 3.50 / 2 2.85
  • 1X2 market: Fenerbahce 39.6% / X 27.1% / VfB Stuttgart 33.3%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 54.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.3%
1 39.6%
X 27.1%
2 33.3%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.4%
Over 2.5 54.8%
Under 2.5 45.2%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 23.10.2025 16:45 UTC
Market 1 39.6% @ 2.40 / X 27.1% @ 3.50 / 2 33.3% @ 2.85
Match center

Fenerbahce - VfB Stuttgart

Form 5/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.85 Fonbet · line only
X 3.50 Fonbet · line only
1 2.40 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
X2 1.57 Fonbet · line only
12 1.30 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.42 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.58 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.28 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 2.79 market consensus · line only
2 +1 4.40 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.73 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 2.10 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.30 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.60 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.44 41.0%
X 3.54 28.3%
2.93 34.1%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.46 40.7% 2.35 42.6% 2.55 39.2% 2.45 40.8% 2.45 40.8% 2.40 41.7%
X 3.45 29.0% 3.45 29.0% 3.63 27.6% 3.40 29.4% 3.50 28.6% 3.45 29.0%
2.74 36.5% 2.75 36.4% 2.88 34.7% 2.70 37.0% 2.75 36.4% 2.92 34.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Betway Bwin
no 2.40 41.7% 2.45 40.8% 2.32 43.1% 2.30 43.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.30 43.5% 2.38 42.0% 2.30 43.5% 2.20 45.5%
yes 1.50 66.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.55 64.5% 1.57 63.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.60 62.5% 1.58 63.3%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betway
draw_away 1.53 65.4% 1.58 63.3% 1.50 66.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.60 62.5% 1.57 63.7%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.33 75.2% 1.30 76.9% 1.28 78.1% 1.30 76.9% 1.33 75.2%
home_draw 1.42 70.4% 1.48 67.6% 1.44 69.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.40 71.4%
Match center
Fenerbahce
W L D D W
02.10 16:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
Fenerbahce 2:1 NiceNice
24.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Fenerbahce 1:3 Dinamo ZagrebDinamo Zagreb
24.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Fenerbahce 1:1 Manchester UnitedManchester United
03.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Fenerbahce 1:1 TwenteTwente
26.09 16:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
Fenerbahce 2:1 Union St. Gilloise
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.4 Conceded
8 Points
VfB Stuttgart
L W
02.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
VfB Stuttgart 0:2 FC Basel 1893FC Basel 1893
25.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
VfB Stuttgart 2:1 SeltaSelta
1 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.5 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyFenerbahce - VfB Stuttgart

Fenerbahce
0 matches total
VfB Stuttgart
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history