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Start
29.01.2026 20:00 UTC
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29.01.2026 20:00 UTC
Finished
UEFA Europa League
FK Crvena Zvezda - Celta Vigo
1
:
1
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction FK Crvena Zvezda - Celta Vigo January 29, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like FK Crvena Zvezda.
Line favourite market consensus: FK Crvena Zvezda. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.26 / X 3.65 / 2 2.95
- 1X2 market: FK Crvena Zvezda 41.9% / X 26.0% / Celta Vigo 32.1%
- Total 2.5: over probability 57.2%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 5.5%
1
41.9%
X
26.0%
2
32.1%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 4.7%
Over 2.5
57.2%
Under 2.5
42.8%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
FK Crvena Zvezda - Celta Vigo
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
2.95
market consensus · line only
X
3.65
market consensus · line only
1
2.26
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
1.63
market consensus · line only
12
1.28
market consensus · line only
1X
1.40
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
1.67
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.32
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
2.96
market consensus · line only
2 +1
4.93
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.67
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
2.23
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
2.35
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.55
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.18 45.9% | 2.28 43.9% | 2.33 42.9% | 2.25 44.4% | 2.25 44.4% | 2.20 45.5% | |
| X | 3.55 28.2% | 3.60 27.8% | 3.80 26.3% | 3.60 27.8% | 3.70 27.0% | 3.60 27.8% |
| 3.05 32.8% | 2.76 36.2% | 3.08 32.5% | 3.00 33.3% | 2.95 33.9% | 2.88 34.7% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle | Unibet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.40 41.7% | 2.17 46.1% | 2.37 42.2% | 2.38 42.0% | 2.37 42.2% | 2.50 40.0% | 2.34 42.7% | 2.49 40.2% | 2.20 45.5% |
| yes | 1.50 66.7% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.55 64.5% | 1.50 66.7% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.58 63.3% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.65 60.6% | 1.68 59.5% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.64 61.0% |
| home_away | 1.25 80.0% | 1.31 76.3% | 1.28 78.1% | 1.27 78.7% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.31 76.3% |
| home_draw | 1.36 73.5% | 1.42 70.4% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.42 70.4% | 1.42 70.4% | 1.44 69.4% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.04 96.2% | — | 1.00 100.0% |
| Over 0.75 | — | — | 1.00 100.0% |
| Over 1.0 | — | — | 1.00 100.0% |
| Over 1.25 | — | — | 1.09 91.7% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.20 83.3% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 1.62 61.7% | 1.86 53.8% | — |
| Over 2.75 | — | 2.05 48.8% | — |
| Over 3.5 | 2.55 39.2% | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 4.33 23.1% | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 10.00 10.0% | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 4.33 23.1% | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 2.25 44.4% | 2.03 49.3% | — |
| Under 2.75 | — | 1.84 54.4% | — |
| Under 3.5 | 1.50 66.7% | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 1.20 83.3% | — | — |
Match center
FK Crvena Zvezda
W
W
W
W
L
FK Crvena Zvezda
1:0
Malmo FF
FK Crvena Zvezda
1:0
Sturm Graz
Sturm Graz
FK Crvena Zvezda
1:0
FCSB
FCSB
FK Crvena Zvezda
1:0
Lille
Lille
FK Crvena Zvezda
0:2
Braga
Braga
4
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
0.8
Scored
0.4
Conceded
12
Points
Celta Vigo
W
L
L
W
W
Celta Vigo
2:1
Lille
Lille
Celta Vigo
1:2
Bologna
Bologna
Celta Vigo
2:3
Ludogorets
Ludogorets
Celta Vigo
3:0
Dinamo Zagreb
Dinamo Zagreb
Celta Vigo
2:1
Nice
Nice
3
Wins
0
Draws
2
Losses
2.0
Scored
1.4
Conceded
9
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyFK Crvena Zvezda - Celta Vigo
FK Crvena Zvezda
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
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