Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
UEFA Europa League
UEFA Europa League World
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
28.08.2025 18:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Europa League

Genk - Lech Poznan

World Football
Genk
Genk
1 : 2
Finished
Lech Poznan
Lech Poznan

Genk go head-to-head with Lech Poznan on August 28, 2025 in the UEFA Europa League, World.

Recent form (W-D-L): Genk 1-0-0, Lech Poznan 0-0-1. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. The market favourite is Genk at roughly 65%. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Genk - Lech Poznan August 28, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Genk.

Line favourite market consensus: Genk. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.42 / X 4.72 / 2 6.19
  • 1X2 market: Genk 65.3% / X 19.7% / Lech Poznan 15.0%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 63.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.3% 10 books · best price +3.2%
1 65.3%
X 19.6%
2 15.1%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.9%
Over 2.5 63.6%
Under 2.5 36.4%

Odds source: consensus of 10 books (10Bet, 888Sport, Bet365, Betano, Betfair, Marathonbet). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 28.08.2025 18:00 UTC
Market 1 65.3% @ 1.42 / X 19.7% @ 4.72 / 2 15.0% @ 6.19
Match center

Genk - Lech Poznan

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.20 market consensus · line only
X 4.74 market consensus · line only
1 1.42 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.74 market consensus · line only
12 1.16 market consensus · line only
1X 1.11 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.79 market consensus · line only
2 -1 2.18 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 6.00 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.44 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.47 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.57 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.15 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.64 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.44 69.4%
X 4.93 20.3%
6.27 16.0%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet
1.44 69.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.42 70.4% 1.47 68.0% 1.40 71.4% 1.43 69.9%
X 4.75 21.1% 4.60 21.7% 4.33 23.1% 4.75 21.1% 4.75 21.1% 4.85 20.6%
6.00 16.7% 5.75 17.4% 6.25 16.0% 6.20 16.1% 6.50 15.4% 6.65 15.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle Unibet
no 2.15 46.5% 2.30 43.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.15 46.5% 2.10 47.6% 2.17 46.1% 2.15 46.5% 1.96 51.0%
yes 1.60 62.5% 1.57 63.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.65 60.6% 1.65 60.6% 1.61 62.1% 1.68 59.5% 1.74 57.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet Pinnacle
draw_away 2.70 37.0% 2.88 34.7% 2.75 36.4% 2.75 36.4% 2.82 35.5% 2.80 35.7%
home_away 1.13 88.5% 1.17 85.5% 1.20 83.3% 1.18 84.8% 1.18 84.8% 1.16 86.2%
home_draw 1.12 89.3% 1.11 90.1% 1.11 90.1% 1.14 87.7% 1.11 90.1% 1.11 90.1%
Match center
Genk
W
21.08 18:30 UTC UEFA Europa League
Genk 5:1 Lech Poznan
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
5.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
3 Points
Lech Poznan
L
21.08 18:30 UTC UEFA Europa League
Lech Poznan 1:5 GenkGenk
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
5.0 Conceded
0 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyGenk - Lech Poznan

Genk
1 matches total
Lech Poznan
Genk: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Lech Poznan: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Genk 5:1 (21.08 18:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 6 goals (5:1, 21.08 18:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

5 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 5

Match history

21.08 18:30 UTC UEFA Europa League
Genk
5:1
Lech Poznan