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Start
29.01.2026 20:00 UTC
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29.01.2026 20:00 UTC
Finished
UEFA Europa League
Genk - Malmo FF
2
:
1
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Genk - Malmo FF January 29, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Genk.
Line favourite market consensus: Genk. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.28 / X 5.78 / 2 9.82
- 1X2 market: Genk 73.8% / X 16.4% / Malmo FF 9.7%
- Total 2.5: over probability 64.4%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 5.6%
1
74.0%
X
16.4%
2
9.6%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 6.1%
Over 2.5
64.6%
Under 2.5
35.4%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Genk - Malmo FF
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
9.13
market consensus · line only
X
5.78
market consensus · line only
1
1.28
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
3.64
market consensus · line only
12
1.14
market consensus · line only
1X
1.06
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
3.53
market consensus · line only
2 -1
2.87
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
6.80
market consensus · line only
2 +1
9.70
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.46
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
2.66
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.95
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.80
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.29 77.5% | 1.31 76.3% | 1.31 76.3% | 1.28 78.1% | 1.31 76.3% | 1.25 80.0% | |
| X | 5.25 19.1% | 5.10 19.6% | 6.18 16.2% | 5.75 17.4% | 5.80 17.2% | 5.50 18.2% |
| 9.40 10.6% | 8.10 12.4% | 11.20 8.9% | 9.50 10.5% | 11.00 9.1% | 9.50 10.5% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle | Unibet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.05 48.8% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.95 51.3% | 2.00 50.0% | 1.89 52.9% | 2.02 49.5% | 1.98 50.5% |
| yes | 1.70 58.8% | 2.04 49.0% | 1.81 55.3% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.78 56.2% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.81 55.3% | 1.82 55.0% | 1.72 58.1% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 3.40 29.4% | 3.82 26.2% | 3.50 28.6% | 3.70 27.0% | 3.90 25.6% | 3.99 25.1% |
| home_away | 1.14 87.7% | 1.16 86.2% | 1.14 87.7% | 1.14 87.7% | 1.15 87.0% | 1.15 87.0% |
| home_draw | 1.05 95.2% | 1.06 94.3% | 1.07 93.5% | 1.07 93.5% | 1.06 94.3% | 1.07 93.5% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.03 97.1% | — | 1.00 100.0% |
| Over 1.0 | — | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.14 87.7% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 1.45 69.0% | — | — |
| Over 2.75 | — | 1.84 54.4% | — |
| Over 3.0 | — | 2.06 48.5% | — |
| Over 3.5 | 2.10 47.6% | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 3.45 29.0% | — | — |
| Over 5.5 | 6.25 16.0% | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 11.00 9.1% | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 5.50 18.2% | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 2.70 37.0% | — | — |
| Under 2.75 | — | 2.05 48.8% | — |
| Under 3.0 | — | 1.83 54.6% | — |
| Under 3.5 | 1.70 58.8% | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 1.30 76.9% | — | — |
| Under 5.5 | 1.11 90.1% | — | — |
Match center
Genk
W
L
W
W
D
Genk
2:0
Utrecht
Utrecht
Genk
0:1
Midtyullann
Midtyullann
Genk
2:1
FC Basel 1893
FC Basel 1893
Genk
4:3
Braga
Braga
Genk
0:0
Real Betis
Real Betis
3
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
1.6
Scored
1.0
Conceded
10
Points
Malmo FF
L
L
L
L
D
Malmo FF
0:1
FK Crvena Zvezda
Malmo FF
1:2
FC Porto
FC Porto
Malmo FF
0:3
Nottingem Forest
Nottingem Forest
Malmo FF
0:1
Panathinaikos
Panathinaikos
Malmo FF
1:1
Dinamo Zagreb
Dinamo Zagreb
0
Wins
1
Draws
4
Losses
0.4
Scored
1.6
Conceded
1
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyGenk - Malmo FF
Genk
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
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