Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
UEFA Europa League
UEFA Europa League World
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
21.08.2025 18:45 UTC
Finished

UEFA Europa League

HNK Rijeka - PAOK

World Football
HNK Rijeka
HNK Rijeka
1 : 0
Finished
PAOK
PAOK

HNK Rijeka take on PAOK on August 21, 2025 in the UEFA Europa League, World.

Recent form (W-D-L): HNK Rijeka 1-0-0, PAOK 0-2-2. The bookmaker line makes PAOK the favourite at about 45%. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction HNK Rijeka - PAOK August 21, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like PAOK.

Line favourite Fonbet: PAOK. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 3.75 / X 3.15 / 2 2.13
  • 1X2 market: HNK Rijeka 25.3% / X 30.1% / PAOK 44.6%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 58.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.3% 17 books · best price +5.6%
1 26.5%
X 30.1%
2 43.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.2%
Over 2.5 41.3%
Under 2.5 58.7%

Odds source: consensus of 17 books (10Bet, 188Bet, 1xBet, 888Sport, Bet365, Betano). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 21.08.2025 18:45 UTC
Market 1 25.3% @ 3.75 / X 30.1% @ 3.15 / 2 44.6% @ 2.13
Match center

HNK Rijeka - PAOK

Form 1/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.13 Fonbet · line only
X 3.15 Fonbet · line only
1 3.75 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
X2 1.27 Fonbet · line only
12 1.35 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.70 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.30 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.07 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 2.14 market consensus · line only
2 +1 3.45 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.30 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.62 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.83 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.97 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
3.80 26.3%
X 3.14 31.9%
2.13 47.0%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
3.50 28.6% 2.98 33.6% 3.64 27.5% 3.25 30.8% 3.70 27.0% 3.60 27.8%
X 3.10 32.3% 3.30 30.3% 3.26 30.7% 3.10 32.3% 3.10 32.3% 3.15 31.8%
2.15 46.5% 2.26 44.3% 2.20 45.5% 2.15 46.5% 2.10 47.6% 2.20 45.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Betway Bwin
no 1.77 56.5% 1.84 54.4% 1.78 56.2% 1.75 57.1% 1.73 57.8% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.75 57.1% 1.75 57.1%
yes 1.91 52.4% 1.93 51.8% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 2.00 50.0% 1.95 51.3% 2.00 50.0% 1.95 51.3% 1.93 51.8%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betway
draw_away 1.28 78.1% 1.30 76.9% 1.29 77.5% 1.28 78.1% 1.31 76.3% 1.29 77.5%
home_away 1.30 76.9% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.34 74.6% 1.36 73.5%
home_draw 1.67 59.9% 1.70 58.8% 1.67 59.9% 1.67 59.9% 1.70 58.8% 1.70 58.8%
Match center
HNK Rijeka
W
12.08 18:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
HNK Rijeka 3:1 ShelbourneShelbourne
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
3.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
3 Points
PAOK
D D L L
14.08 17:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
PAOK 0:0 Wolfsberger ACWolfsberger AC
24.10 16:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
PAOK 2:2 Plzen
03.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
PAOK 0:1 FCSBFCSB
25.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
PAOK 1:3 GalatasarayGalatasaray
0 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.5 Conceded
2 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyHNK Rijeka - PAOK

HNK Rijeka
0 matches total
PAOK
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history