UEFA Europa League
Ilves - Shakhtar Donetsk
Ilves take on Shakhtar Donetsk on July 17, 2025 in the UEFA Europa League, World.
Recent form (W-D-L): Ilves 0-0-1, Shakhtar Donetsk 1-0-0. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. Sportsbooks lean towards Shakhtar Donetsk, an implied 65% to win. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Ilves - Shakhtar Donetsk July 17, 2025
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Shakhtar Donetsk.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 6.50 / X 4.60 / 2 1.47
- 1X2 market: Ilves 14.6% / X 20.7% / Shakhtar Donetsk 64.7%
- Total 2.5: over probability 62.7%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: consensus of 19 books (10Bet, 188Bet, 1xBet, 888Sport, Bet365, Betano). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Ilves - Shakhtar Donetsk
What data is collected and where it is shown
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Market 1
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| 6.45 15.5% | |
| X | 4.46 22.4% |
| 1.46 68.5% |
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.25 16.0% | 6.20 16.1% | 6.07 16.5% | 5.75 17.4% | 5.25 19.1% | 6.30 15.9% | |
| X | 4.75 21.1% | 4.70 21.3% | 4.76 21.0% | 4.50 22.2% | 4.75 21.1% | 4.45 22.5% |
| 1.36 73.5% | 1.38 72.5% | 1.50 66.7% | 1.44 69.4% | 1.45 69.0% | 1.44 69.4% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Betway | Bwin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.00 50.0% | 2.06 48.5% | 2.07 48.3% | 2.20 45.5% | 2.10 47.6% | 2.15 46.5% | 2.10 47.6% | 2.20 45.5% | 2.10 47.6% |
| yes | 1.67 59.9% | 1.74 57.5% | 1.69 59.2% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.65 60.6% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.63 61.4% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betway |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.07 93.5% | 1.13 88.5% | 1.13 88.5% | 1.14 87.7% | 1.13 88.5% | 1.13 88.5% |
| home_away | 1.12 89.3% | 1.20 83.3% | 1.20 83.3% | 1.17 85.5% | 1.18 84.8% | 1.18 84.8% |
| home_draw | 2.85 35.1% | 2.63 38.0% | 2.70 37.0% | 2.62 38.2% | 2.77 36.1% | 2.70 37.0% |
Ilves
Shakhtar Donetsk
Shakhtar Donetsk
Ilves
Full head-to-head historyIlves - Shakhtar Donetsk
Overall statistics
Match history
Shakhtar Donetsk
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- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form