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UEFA Europa League
UEFA Europa League World
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
17.07.2025 16:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Europa League

Ilves - Shakhtar Donetsk

World Football
Ilves
Ilves
0 : 0
Finished
Shakhtar Donetsk
Shakhtar Donetsk

Ilves take on Shakhtar Donetsk on July 17, 2025 in the UEFA Europa League, World.

Recent form (W-D-L): Ilves 0-0-1, Shakhtar Donetsk 1-0-0. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. Sportsbooks lean towards Shakhtar Donetsk, an implied 65% to win. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Ilves - Shakhtar Donetsk July 17, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Shakhtar Donetsk.

Line favourite Fonbet: Shakhtar Donetsk. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 6.50 / X 4.60 / 2 1.47
  • 1X2 market: Ilves 14.6% / X 20.7% / Shakhtar Donetsk 64.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 62.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.3% 19 books · best price +4.2%
1 15.8%
X 20.3%
2 63.9%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.0%
Over 2.5 62.7%
Under 2.5 37.3%

Odds source: consensus of 19 books (10Bet, 188Bet, 1xBet, 888Sport, Bet365, Betano). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 17.07.2025 16:00 UTC
Market 1 14.6% @ 6.50 / X 20.7% @ 4.60 / 2 64.7% @ 1.47
🏦 Virtual bank $10,000
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Match center

Ilves - Shakhtar Donetsk

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.47 Fonbet · line only
X 4.60 Fonbet · line only
1 6.50 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
X2 1.11 Fonbet · line only
12 1.20 Fonbet · line only
1X 2.70 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.14 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.08 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.47 market consensus · line only
2 +1 1.70 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.52 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 2.55 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.20 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.65 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
6.45 15.5%
X 4.46 22.4%
1.46 68.5%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
6.25 16.0% 6.20 16.1% 6.07 16.5% 5.75 17.4% 5.25 19.1% 6.30 15.9%
X 4.75 21.1% 4.70 21.3% 4.76 21.0% 4.50 22.2% 4.75 21.1% 4.45 22.5%
1.36 73.5% 1.38 72.5% 1.50 66.7% 1.44 69.4% 1.45 69.0% 1.44 69.4%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Betway Bwin
no 2.00 50.0% 2.06 48.5% 2.07 48.3% 2.20 45.5% 2.10 47.6% 2.15 46.5% 2.10 47.6% 2.20 45.5% 2.10 47.6%
yes 1.67 59.9% 1.74 57.5% 1.69 59.2% 1.62 61.7% 1.67 59.9% 1.62 61.7% 1.65 60.6% 1.62 61.7% 1.63 61.4%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betway
draw_away 1.07 93.5% 1.13 88.5% 1.13 88.5% 1.14 87.7% 1.13 88.5% 1.13 88.5%
home_away 1.12 89.3% 1.20 83.3% 1.20 83.3% 1.17 85.5% 1.18 84.8% 1.18 84.8%
home_draw 2.85 35.1% 2.63 38.0% 2.70 37.0% 2.62 38.2% 2.77 36.1% 2.70 37.0%
Match center
Ilves
L
10.07 18:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Ilves 0:6 Shakhtar DonetskShakhtar Donetsk
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
0.0 Scored
6.0 Conceded
0 Points
Shakhtar Donetsk
W
10.07 18:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Shakhtar Donetsk 6:0 IlvesIlves
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
6.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyIlves - Shakhtar Donetsk

Ilves
1 matches total
Shakhtar Donetsk
Ilves: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Shakhtar Donetsk: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Shakhtar Donetsk 0:6 (10.07 18:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 6 goals (0:6, 10.07 18:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 6
6 Goals conceded 0

Match history

10.07 18:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Ilves
0:6
Shakhtar Donetsk