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UEFA Europa League
UEFA Europa League World
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
14.08.2025 15:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Europa League

KuPS - Rīgas FS

World Football
KuPS
KuPS
1 : 0
Finished
Rīgas FS
Rīgas FS

KuPS take on Rīgas FS on August 14, 2025 in the UEFA Europa League, World.

Recent form (W-D-L): KuPS 1-0-0, Rīgas FS 0-1-3. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. The market favourite is KuPS at roughly 39%. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction KuPS - Rīgas FS August 14, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like KuPS.

Line favourite market consensus: KuPS. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.36 / X 3.49 / 2 2.70
  • 1X2 market: KuPS 39.2% / X 26.5% / Rīgas FS 34.3%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 54.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.6% 15 books · best price +7.1%
1 39.1%
X 26.5%
2 34.5%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.4%
Over 2.5 54.6%
Under 2.5 45.4%

Odds source: consensus of 15 books (10Bet, 188Bet, 1xBet, 888Sport, Bet365, Betano). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 14.08.2025 15:00 UTC
Market 1 39.2% @ 2.36 / X 26.5% @ 3.49 / 2 34.3% @ 2.70
Match center

KuPS - Rīgas FS

Form 1/4 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.71 market consensus · line only
X 3.50 market consensus · line only
1 2.36 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.55 market consensus · line only
12 1.28 market consensus · line only
1X 1.43 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.57 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.29 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.65 market consensus · line only
2 +1 4.54 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.72 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.07 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.23 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.60 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.41 41.5%
X 3.67 27.3%
2.76 36.2%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.38 42.0% 2.19 45.7% 2.48 40.3% 2.25 44.4% 2.30 43.5% 2.40 41.7%
X 3.45 29.0% 3.45 29.0% 3.64 27.5% 3.30 30.3% 3.60 27.8% 3.55 28.2%
2.62 38.2% 2.69 37.2% 2.79 35.8% 2.75 36.4% 2.75 36.4% 2.70 37.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.15 46.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.24 44.6% 2.15 46.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.27 44.1% 2.20 45.5% 2.21 45.3% 2.41 41.5%
yes 1.57 63.7% 1.65 60.6% 1.59 62.9% 1.65 60.6% 1.62 61.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.60 62.5% 1.59 62.9% 1.57 63.7%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.55 64.5% 1.57 63.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.60 62.5% 1.56 64.1%
home_away 1.22 82.0% 1.30 76.9% 1.30 76.9% 1.28 78.1% 1.28 78.1% 1.29 77.5%
home_draw 1.45 69.0% 1.46 68.5% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.47 68.0% 1.45 69.0%
Match center
KuPS
W
06.08 17:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
KuPS 2:1 Rīgas FSRīgas FS
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
3 Points
Rīgas FS
L L D L
06.08 17:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Rīgas FS 1:2 KuPSKuPS
24.10 16:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
Rīgas FS 0:1 Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt
03.10 16:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
Rīgas FS 2:2 GalatasarayGalatasaray
26.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Rīgas FS 1:4 FCSBFCSB
0 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
1.0 Scored
2.3 Conceded
1 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyKuPS - Rīgas FS

KuPS
1 matches total
Rīgas FS
KuPS: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Rīgas FS: 0 (0%)
Biggest win KuPS 2:1 (06.08 17:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (2:1, 06.08 17:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 2

Match history

06.08 17:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
KuPS
2:1
Rīgas FS