Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
UEFA Europa League
UEFA Europa League World
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
21.08.2025 18:30 UTC
Finished

UEFA Europa League

Lech Poznan - Genk

World Football
Lech Poznan
Lech Poznan
1 : 5
Finished
Genk
Genk

Lech Poznan face Genk on August 21, 2025 in the UEFA Europa League, World.

The market favourite is Genk at roughly 46%. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Lech Poznan - Genk August 21, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Genk.

Line favourite Fonbet: Genk. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 3.45 / X 3.75 / 2 2.08
  • 1X2 market: Lech Poznan 27.9% / X 25.7% / Genk 46.4%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 55.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.3% 18 books · best price +17.5%
1 28.2%
X 26.4%
2 45.5%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.3%
Over 2.5 55.8%
Under 2.5 44.2%

Odds source: consensus of 18 books (10Bet, 188Bet, 1xBet, 888Sport, Bet365, Betano). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 21.08.2025 18:30 UTC
Market 1 27.9% @ 3.45 / X 25.7% @ 3.75 / 2 46.3% @ 2.08
Match center

Lech Poznan - Genk

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.08 Fonbet · line only
X 3.75 Fonbet · line only
1 3.45 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
X2 1.30 Fonbet · line only
12 1.27 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.75 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.34 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.13 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 2.07 market consensus · line only
2 +1 2.85 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 2.15 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.35 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.60 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
3.43 29.2%
X 3.72 26.9%
2.09 47.9%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
3.25 30.8% 3.15 31.8% 3.52 28.4% 3.20 31.3% 3.40 29.4% 3.50 28.6%
X 3.55 28.2% 3.45 29.0% 3.72 26.9% 3.40 29.4% 3.60 27.8% 3.70 27.0%
2.10 47.6% 2.11 47.4% 2.07 48.3% 2.00 50.0% 2.05 48.8% 2.12 47.2%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Betway Bwin
no 2.25 44.4% 2.31 43.3% 2.24 44.6% 2.20 45.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.27 44.1% 2.25 44.4% 2.25 44.4% 2.20 45.5%
yes 1.55 64.5% 1.59 62.9% 1.59 62.9% 1.62 61.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.60 62.5% 1.57 63.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.58 63.3%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betway
draw_away 1.33 75.2% 1.32 75.8% 1.30 76.9% 1.30 76.9% 1.34 74.6% 1.30 76.9%
home_away 1.22 82.0% 1.29 77.5% 1.25 80.0% 1.28 78.1% 1.28 78.1% 1.30 76.9%
home_draw 1.70 58.8% 1.79 55.9% 1.80 55.6% 1.73 57.8% 1.78 56.2% 1.78 56.2%
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLech Poznan - Genk

Lech Poznan
0 matches total
Genk
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history