UEFA Europa League
Legia Warszawa - AEK Larnaca
Legia Warszawa face AEK Larnaca on August 14, 2025 in the UEFA Europa League, World.
Recent form (W-D-L): Legia Warszawa 2-0-1, AEK Larnaca 2-0-1. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. The bookmaker line makes Legia Warszawa the favourite at about 60%. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Legia Warszawa - AEK Larnaca August 14, 2025
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Legia Warszawa.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.60 / X 4.20 / 2 5.80
- 1X2 market: Legia Warszawa 60.4% / X 23.0% / AEK Larnaca 16.7%
- Total 2.5: over probability 57.7%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: consensus of 18 books (10Bet, 188Bet, 1xBet, 888Sport, Bet365, Betano). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Legia Warszawa - AEK Larnaca
What data is collected and where it is shown
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Market 1
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| 1.63 61.4% | |
| X | 3.99 25.1% |
| 5.24 19.1% |
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.55 64.5% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.59 62.9% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.55 64.5% | 1.57 63.7% | |
| X | 4.20 23.8% | 3.85 26.0% | 4.31 23.2% | 4.00 25.0% | 4.20 23.8% | 4.20 23.8% |
| 5.00 20.0% | 4.15 24.1% | 5.38 18.6% | 4.40 22.7% | 5.25 19.1% | 5.10 19.6% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Betway | Bwin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.05 48.8% | 2.17 46.1% | 2.14 46.7% | 2.20 45.5% | 2.00 50.0% | 2.05 48.8% | 2.05 48.8% | 2.05 48.8% | 2.05 48.8% |
| yes | 1.65 60.6% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.72 58.1% | 1.65 60.6% | 1.73 57.8% | 1.70 58.8% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.70 58.8% | 1.68 59.5% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betway |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 2.35 42.6% | 2.36 42.4% | 2.20 45.5% | 2.38 42.0% | 2.42 41.3% | 2.40 41.7% |
| home_away | 1.17 85.5% | 1.22 82.0% | 1.22 82.0% | 1.22 82.0% | 1.22 82.0% | 1.22 82.0% |
| home_draw | 1.12 89.3% | 1.16 86.2% | 1.20 83.3% | 1.14 87.7% | 1.19 84.0% | 1.17 85.5% |
Legia Warszawa
AEK Larnaka
Baník Ostrava
Aktobe
AEK Larnaca
Tsele
FK Partizan
Full head-to-head historyLegia Warszawa - AEK Larnaca
Overall statistics
Match history
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- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form