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UEFA Europa League
UEFA Europa League World
23.10.2025 19:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Europa League

Lille - PAOK

World Football
Lille
Lille
3 : 4
Finished
PAOK
PAOK

Lille take on PAOK on October 23, 2025 in the UEFA Europa League, World.

Recent form (W-D-L): Lille 2-0-0, PAOK 1-2-1. The market favourite is Lille at roughly 61%. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Lille - PAOK October 23, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lille.

Line favourite Fonbet: Lille. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.55 / X 4.30 / 2 5.80
  • 1X2 market: Lille 61.4% / X 22.2% / PAOK 16.4%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 55.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.0%
1 61.4%
X 22.1%
2 16.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.3%
Over 2.5 55.8%
Under 2.5 44.2%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 23.10.2025 19:00 UTC
Market 1 61.4% @ 1.55 / X 22.1% @ 4.30 / 2 16.4% @ 5.80
Match center

Lille - PAOK

Form 2/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.80 Fonbet · line only
X 4.30 Fonbet · line only
1 1.55 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
X2 2.45 Fonbet · line only
12 1.22 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.14 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.44 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.90 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 5.40 market consensus · line only
2 +1 9.90 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 2.15 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.00 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.75 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.54 64.9% 1.61 62.1% 1.61 62.1% 1.53 65.4% 1.60 62.5% 1.60 62.5%
X 4.20 23.8% 3.90 25.6% 4.45 22.5% 4.00 25.0% 4.00 25.0% 4.35 23.0%
5.90 17.0% 4.90 20.4% 5.93 16.9% 5.00 20.0% 5.50 18.2% 5.80 17.2%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Betway Bwin
no 2.05 48.8% 1.92 52.1% 1.96 51.0% 2.05 48.8% 1.95 51.3% 2.00 50.0% 2.05 48.8% 2.00 50.0% 1.90 52.6%
yes 1.70 58.8% 1.86 53.8% 1.77 56.5% 1.73 57.8% 1.80 55.6% 1.75 57.1% 1.73 57.8% 1.78 56.2% 1.77 56.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betway
draw_away 2.40 41.7% 2.48 40.3% 2.45 40.8% 2.30 43.5% 2.42 41.3% 2.40 41.7%
home_away 1.18 84.8% 1.25 80.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.22 82.0%
home_draw 1.13 88.5% 1.17 85.5% 1.14 87.7% 1.14 87.7% 1.17 85.5% 1.17 85.5%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.04 96.2% 1.01 99.0%
Over 0.75 1.00 100.0%
Over 1.0 1.01 99.0%
Over 1.25 1.10 90.9%
Over 1.5 1.22 82.0% 1.21 82.6%
Over 1.75 1.25 80.0%
Over 2.5 1.65 60.6% 1.85 54.1%
Over 3.5 2.62 38.2%
Over 4.5 4.75 21.1%
Under 0.5 10.00 10.0%
Under 1.5 4.20 23.8%
Under 2.5 2.20 45.5% 2.04 49.0%
Under 3.5 1.48 67.6%
Under 4.5 1.18 84.8%
Match center
Lille
W W
02.10 16:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
Lille 1:0 AS RomaAS Roma
25.09 16:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
Lille 2:1 BrannBrann
2 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
1.5 Scored
0.5 Conceded
6 Points
PAOK
L D W D
02.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
PAOK 1:3 SeltaSelta
24.09 16:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
PAOK 0:0 Maccabi Tel AvivMaccabi Tel Aviv
28.08 17:30 UTC UEFA Europa League
PAOK 5:0 HNK RijekaHNK Rijeka
14.08 17:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
PAOK 0:0 Wolfsberger ACWolfsberger AC
1 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.5 Scored
0.8 Conceded
5 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLille - PAOK

Lille
0 matches total
PAOK
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history