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UEFA Europa League
UEFA Europa League World
29.01.2026 20:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Europa League

Lille - SC Freiburg

World Football
Lille
Lille
1 : 0
Finished
SC Freiburg
SC Freiburg

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Lille - SC Freiburg January 29, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lille.

Line favourite market consensus: Lille. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.03 / X 3.47 / 2 3.69
  • 1X2 market: Lille 46.8% / X 27.4% / SC Freiburg 25.8%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 51.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.2%
1 46.8%
X 27.4%
2 25.8%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.5%
Over 2.5 48.6%
Under 2.5 51.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 29.01.2026 20:00 UTC
Match center

Lille - SC Freiburg

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.69 market consensus · line only
X 3.47 market consensus · line only
1 2.03 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.79 market consensus · line only
12 1.30 market consensus · line only
1X 1.28 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.82 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.41 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.59 market consensus · line only
2 +1 6.93 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.97 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.86 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.98 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.77 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair
1.99 50.3% 1.99 50.3% 2.12 47.2% 2.00 50.0% 2.07 48.3% 2.00 50.0%
X 3.55 28.2% 3.40 29.4% 3.56 28.1% 3.50 28.6% 3.60 27.8% 3.50 28.6%
3.50 28.6% 3.45 29.0% 3.82 26.2% 3.70 27.0% 3.80 26.3% 3.70 27.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle Unibet
no 1.95 51.3% 2.05 48.8% 1.97 50.8% 1.95 51.3% 1.98 50.5% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 2.04 49.0% 1.98 50.5%
yes 1.75 57.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.76 56.8% 1.80 55.6% 1.78 56.2% 1.80 55.6% 1.76 56.8% 1.83 54.6% 1.72 58.1%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Marathonbet Pinnacle
draw_away 1.70 58.8% 1.81 55.3% 1.80 55.6% 1.82 55.0% 1.80 55.6% 1.82 55.0%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.34 74.6% 1.28 78.1% 1.29 77.5% 1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2%
home_draw 1.30 76.9% 1.31 76.3% 1.28 78.1% 1.30 76.9% 1.30 76.9% 1.30 76.9%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.05 95.2% 1.01 99.0%
Over 0.75 1.02 98.0%
Over 1.0 1.03 97.1%
Over 1.25 1.16 86.2%
Over 1.5 1.30 76.9% 1.28 78.1%
Over 1.75 1.36 73.5%
Over 2.5 1.95 51.3% 1.94 51.6%
Over 3.5 3.45 29.0%
Over 4.5 6.50 15.4%
Under 0.5 9.00 11.1%
Under 1.5 3.40 29.4%
Under 2.5 1.83 54.6% 1.95 51.3%
Under 3.5 1.30 76.9%
Under 4.5 1.10 90.9%
Match center
Lille
L L W L L
22.01 20:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Lille 1:2 SeltaSelta
11.12 17:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
Lille 0:1 BSC Young BoysBSC Young Boys
27.11 17:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
Lille 4:0 Dinamo ZagrebDinamo Zagreb
06.11 17:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
Lille 0:1 FK Crvena Zvezda
23.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Lille 3:4 PAOKPAOK
1 Wins
0 Draws
4 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.6 Conceded
3 Points
SC Freiburg
W W D W W
22.01 17:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
SC Freiburg 1:0 Maccabi Tel AvivMaccabi Tel Aviv
11.12 20:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
SC Freiburg 1:0 Red Bull SalzburgRed Bull Salzburg
27.11 17:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
SC Freiburg 0:0 Plzen
06.11 17:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
SC Freiburg 3:1 NiceNice
23.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
SC Freiburg 2:0 UtrechtUtrecht
4 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.4 Scored
0.2 Conceded
13 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLille - SC Freiburg

Lille
0 matches total
SC Freiburg
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history