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UEFA Europa League
UEFA Europa League World
27.11.2025 17:45 UTC
Finished

UEFA Europa League

Ludogorets - Celta Vigo

World Football
Ludogorets
Ludogorets
3 : 2
Finished
Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo

Ludogorets face Celta Vigo on November 27, 2025 in the UEFA Europa League, World.

Recent form (W-D-L): Ludogorets 2-0-3, Celta Vigo 3-0-1. Sportsbooks lean towards Celta Vigo, an implied 56% to win. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Ludogorets - Celta Vigo November 27, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Celta Vigo.

Line favourite market consensus: Celta Vigo. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 5.04 / X 3.82 / 2 1.68
  • 1X2 market: Ludogorets 18.9% / X 24.9% / Celta Vigo 56.3%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 51.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.5%
1 18.8%
X 24.8%
2 56.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.5%
Over 2.5 51.2%
Under 2.5 48.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 27.11.2025 17:45 UTC
Market 1 18.8% @ 5.04 / X 24.8% @ 3.82 / 2 56.4% @ 1.68
Match center

Ludogorets - Celta Vigo

Form 5/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.68 market consensus · line only
X 3.82 market consensus · line only
1 5.04 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.17 market consensus · line only
12 1.26 market consensus · line only
1X 2.20 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.18 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.66 market consensus · line only
2 +1 2.19 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 4.65 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.87 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.96 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.93 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.82 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
5.10 19.6% 4.30 23.3% 5.32 18.8% 4.80 20.8% 5.25 19.1% 5.40 18.5%
X 3.80 26.3% 3.70 27.0% 4.01 24.9% 3.60 27.8% 3.80 26.3% 4.00 25.0%
1.67 59.9% 1.73 57.8% 1.73 57.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.67 59.9% 1.70 58.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.95 51.3% 1.85 54.1% 1.92 52.1% 1.95 51.3% 1.91 52.4% 1.95 51.3% 1.91 52.4% 1.90 52.6% 2.04 49.0%
yes 1.77 56.5% 1.93 51.8% 1.80 55.6% 1.75 57.1% 1.91 52.4% 1.80 55.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.83 54.6%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.17 85.5% 1.19 84.0% 1.18 84.8% 1.17 85.5% 1.19 84.0% 1.18 84.8%
home_away 1.22 82.0% 1.29 77.5% 1.25 80.0% 1.28 78.1% 1.25 80.0% 1.28 78.1%
home_draw 2.15 46.5% 2.23 44.8% 2.15 46.5% 2.05 48.8% 2.25 44.4% 2.24 44.6%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.05 95.2% 1.00 100.0%
Over 0.75 1.01 99.0%
Over 1.0 1.02 98.0%
Over 1.25 1.13 88.5%
Over 1.5 1.28 78.1% 1.24 80.7%
Over 1.75 1.30 76.9%
Over 2.5 1.83 54.6% 2.06 48.5%
Over 3.5 3.10 32.3%
Over 4.5 5.75 17.4%
Under 0.5 9.50 10.5%
Under 1.5 3.65 27.4%
Under 2.5 1.95 51.3% 1.83 54.6%
Under 3.5 1.36 73.5%
Under 4.5 1.12 89.3%
Match center
Ludogorets
L L L W W
06.11 20:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Ludogorets 1:3 FerentsvaroshFerentsvarosh
23.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Ludogorets 2:3 BSC Young BoysBSC Young Boys
02.10 16:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
Ludogorets 0:2 Real BetisReal Betis
24.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Ludogorets 2:1 Malmo FF
28.08 17:30 UTC UEFA Europa League
Ludogorets 2:1 ShkendijaShkendija
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.4 Scored
2.0 Conceded
6 Points
Celta Vigo
W W W L
06.11 17:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
Celta Vigo 3:0 Dinamo ZagrebDinamo Zagreb
23.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Celta Vigo 2:1 NiceNice
02.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Celta Vigo 3:1 PAOKPAOK
25.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Celta Vigo 1:2 VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart
3 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.3 Scored
1.0 Conceded
9 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLudogorets - Celta Vigo

Ludogorets
0 matches total
Celta Vigo
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history