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UEFA Europa League
UEFA Europa League World
29.01.2026 20:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Europa League

Ludogorets - Nice

World Football
Ludogorets
Ludogorets
1 : 0
Finished
Nice
Nice

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Ludogorets - Nice January 29, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Ludogorets.

Line favourite market consensus: Ludogorets. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.77 / X 3.95 / 2 4.28
  • 1X2 market: Ludogorets 53.7% / X 24.1% / Nice 22.2%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 56.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.2%
1 53.7%
X 24.1%
2 22.2%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.5%
Over 2.5 56.3%
Under 2.5 43.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 29.01.2026 20:00 UTC
Match center

Ludogorets - Nice

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.28 market consensus · line only
X 3.95 market consensus · line only
1 1.77 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.06 market consensus · line only
12 1.24 market consensus · line only
1X 1.22 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.09 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.61 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.89 market consensus · line only
2 +1 7.73 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.70 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.19 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.14 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.66 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair
1.75 57.1% 1.87 53.5% 1.82 55.0% 1.73 57.8% 1.80 55.6% 1.73 57.8%
X 3.85 26.0% 3.60 27.8% 4.14 24.2% 4.00 25.0% 4.10 24.4% 3.90 25.6%
4.20 23.8% 3.75 26.7% 4.45 22.5% 4.33 23.1% 4.45 22.5% 4.33 23.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle Unibet
no 2.20 45.5% 2.01 49.8% 2.17 46.1% 2.10 47.6% 2.15 46.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.16 46.3% 2.20 45.5% 2.08 48.1%
yes 1.60 62.5% 1.78 56.2% 1.63 61.4% 1.67 59.9% 1.65 60.6% 1.62 61.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.71 58.5% 1.65 60.6%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Marathonbet Pinnacle
draw_away 2.00 50.0% 2.10 47.6% 2.00 50.0% 2.10 47.6% 2.12 47.2% 2.10 47.6%
home_away 1.20 83.3% 1.27 78.7% 1.22 82.0% 1.24 80.7% 1.26 79.4% 1.27 78.7%
home_draw 1.22 82.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.24 80.7% 1.24 80.7% 1.24 80.7%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.04 96.2% 1.01 99.0%
Over 0.75 1.00 100.0%
Over 1.0 1.04 96.2%
Over 1.25 1.09 91.7%
Over 1.5 1.20 83.3%
Over 2.5 1.65 60.6% 1.89 52.9%
Over 2.75 2.02 49.5%
Over 3.5 2.65 37.7%
Over 4.5 4.75 21.1%
Under 0.5 10.00 10.0%
Under 1.5 4.33 23.1%
Under 2.5 2.20 45.5% 2.00 50.0%
Under 2.75 1.87 53.5%
Under 3.5 1.48 67.6%
Under 4.5 1.18 84.8%
Match center
Ludogorets
L D W L L
22.01 20:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Ludogorets 0:1 RangersRangers
11.12 17:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
Ludogorets 3:3 PAOKPAOK
27.11 17:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
Ludogorets 3:2 SeltaSelta
06.11 20:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Ludogorets 1:3 FerentsvaroshFerentsvarosh
23.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Ludogorets 2:3 BSC Young BoysBSC Young Boys
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
1.8 Scored
2.4 Conceded
4 Points
Nice
W L L L L
22.01 20:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Nice 3:1 GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles
11.12 17:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
Nice 0:1 BragaBraga
27.11 17:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
Nice 0:3 FC PortoFC Porto
06.11 17:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
Nice 1:3 FrayburgFrayburg
23.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Nice 1:2 SeltaSelta
1 Wins
0 Draws
4 Losses
1.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLudogorets - Nice

Ludogorets
0 matches total
Nice
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history