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UEFA Europa League
UEFA Europa League World
11.12.2025 17:45 UTC
Finished

UEFA Europa League

Ludogorets - PAOK

World Football
Ludogorets
Ludogorets
3 : 3
Finished
PAOK
PAOK

Ludogorets go head-to-head with PAOK on December 11, 2025 in the UEFA Europa League, World.

Recent form (W-D-L): Ludogorets 2-0-3, PAOK 2-2-1. Sportsbooks lean towards PAOK, an implied 47% to win. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Ludogorets - PAOK December 11, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like PAOK.

Line favourite market consensus: PAOK. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.63 / X 3.46 / 2 2.02
  • 1X2 market: Ludogorets 26.1% / X 27.3% / PAOK 46.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 51.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.0%
1 26.0%
X 27.3%
2 46.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.2%
Over 2.5 49.0%
Under 2.5 51.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 11.12.2025 17:45 UTC
Market 1 26.0% @ 3.63 / X 27.3% @ 3.46 / 2 46.7% @ 2.02
Match center

Ludogorets - PAOK

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.02 market consensus · line only
X 3.46 market consensus · line only
1 3.63 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.28 market consensus · line only
12 1.30 market consensus · line only
1X 1.80 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.33 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.08 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.00 market consensus · line only
2 +1 2.88 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.96 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.88 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.00 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.76 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
3.70 27.0% 3.05 32.8% 3.80 26.3% 3.50 28.6% 3.80 26.3% 3.70 27.0%
X 3.45 29.0% 3.25 30.8% 3.62 27.6% 3.30 30.3% 3.50 28.6% 3.55 28.2%
1.99 50.3% 2.05 48.8% 2.10 47.6% 2.05 48.8% 2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.00 50.0% 1.97 50.8% 2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0% 1.95 51.3% 2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0% 1.98 50.5% 2.08 48.1%
yes 1.73 57.8% 1.81 55.3% 1.74 57.5% 1.75 57.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.75 57.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.74 57.5% 1.79 55.9%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.25 80.0% 1.31 76.3% 1.30 76.9% 1.25 80.0% 1.30 76.9% 1.30 76.9%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.33 75.2% 1.30 76.9% 1.28 78.1% 1.29 77.5% 1.33 75.2%
home_draw 1.77 56.5% 1.82 55.0% 1.73 57.8% 1.80 55.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.82 55.0%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.05 95.2% 1.01 99.0%
Over 0.75 1.02 98.0%
Over 1.0 1.03 97.1%
Over 1.25 1.15 87.0%
Over 1.5 1.30 76.9% 1.27 78.7%
Over 1.75 1.34 74.6%
Over 2.5 1.93 51.8% 2.04 49.0%
Over 3.5 3.30 30.3%
Over 4.5 6.25 16.0%
Under 0.5 9.00 11.1%
Under 1.5 3.45 29.0%
Under 2.5 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1%
Under 3.5 1.33 75.2%
Under 4.5 1.11 90.1%
Match center
Ludogorets
W L L L W
27.11 17:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
Ludogorets 3:2 SeltaSelta
06.11 20:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Ludogorets 1:3 FerentsvaroshFerentsvarosh
23.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Ludogorets 2:3 BSC Young BoysBSC Young Boys
02.10 16:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
Ludogorets 0:2 Real BetisReal Betis
24.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Ludogorets 2:1 Malmo FF
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.6 Scored
2.2 Conceded
6 Points
PAOK
D W W L D
27.11 17:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
PAOK 1:1 BrannBrann
06.11 20:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
PAOK 4:0 BSC Young BoysBSC Young Boys
23.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
PAOK 4:3 LilleLille
02.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
PAOK 1:3 SeltaSelta
24.09 16:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
PAOK 0:0 Maccabi Tel AvivMaccabi Tel Aviv
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.4 Conceded
8 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLudogorets - PAOK

Ludogorets
0 matches total
PAOK
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history