Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
UEFA Europa League
UEFA Europa League World
23.10.2025 16:45 UTC
Finished

UEFA Europa League

Lyon - FC Basel 1893

World Football
Lyon
Lyon
2 : 0
Finished
FC Basel 1893
FC Basel 1893

Lyon take on FC Basel 1893 on October 23, 2025 in the UEFA Europa League, World.

Recent form (W-D-L): Lyon 2-1-1, FC Basel 1893 1-0-1. Sportsbooks lean towards Lyon, an implied 62% to win. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Lyon - FC Basel 1893 October 23, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lyon.

Line favourite Fonbet: Lyon. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.53 / X 4.50 / 2 5.70
  • 1X2 market: Lyon 62.2% / X 21.1% / FC Basel 1893 16.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 60.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.1%
1 62.2%
X 21.1%
2 16.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 7.1%
Over 2.5 60.3%
Under 2.5 39.7%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 23.10.2025 16:45 UTC
Market 1 62.2% @ 1.53 / X 21.1% @ 4.50 / 2 16.7% @ 5.70
Match center

Lyon - FC Basel 1893

Form 4/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.70 Fonbet · line only
X 4.50 Fonbet · line only
1 1.53 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
X2 2.50 Fonbet · line only
12 1.20 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.14 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.47 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.95 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 5.20 market consensus · line only
2 +1 7.60 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.55 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 2.35 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.20 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.65 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.52 65.8% 1.55 64.5% 1.59 62.9% 1.53 65.4% 1.57 63.7% 1.57 63.7%
X 4.35 23.0% 4.30 23.3% 4.66 21.5% 4.20 23.8% 4.50 22.2% 4.70 21.3%
5.80 17.2% 4.85 20.6% 5.88 17.0% 5.00 20.0% 5.00 20.0% 5.70 17.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Betway Bwin
no 2.15 46.5% 2.22 45.1% 2.20 45.5% 2.30 43.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.15 46.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.20 45.5% 2.10 47.6%
yes 1.62 61.7% 1.64 61.0% 1.61 62.1% 1.57 63.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.65 60.6% 1.60 62.5% 1.65 60.6% 1.65 60.6%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betway
draw_away 2.45 40.8% 2.53 39.5% 2.30 43.5% 2.30 43.5% 2.50 40.0% 2.50 40.0%
home_away 1.17 85.5% 1.23 81.3% 1.22 82.0% 1.18 84.8% 1.20 83.3% 1.20 83.3%
home_draw 1.13 88.5% 1.17 85.5% 1.17 85.5% 1.17 85.5% 1.17 85.5% 1.15 87.0%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.03 97.1% 1.02 98.0%
Over 1.0 1.02 98.0%
Over 1.25 1.08 92.6%
Over 1.5 1.18 84.8% 1.12 89.3%
Over 2.5 1.55 64.5%
Over 3.0 1.93 51.8%
Over 3.5 2.35 42.6%
Over 4.5 4.20 23.8%
Over 5.5 7.50 13.3%
Under 0.5 11.00 9.1%
Under 1.5 4.75 21.1%
Under 2.5 2.40 41.7%
Under 3.0 1.96 51.0%
Under 3.5 1.57 63.7%
Under 4.5 1.22 82.0%
Under 5.5 1.08 92.6%
Match center
Lyon
W W D L
02.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Lyon 2:0 Red Bull SalzburgRed Bull Salzburg
25.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Lyon 1:0 UtrechtUtrecht
17.04 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Lyon 2:2 Manchester UnitedManchester United
24.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Lyon 0:1 BeşiktaşBeşiktaş
2 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.3 Scored
0.8 Conceded
7 Points
FC Basel 1893
W L
02.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
FC Basel 1893 2:0 VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart
24.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
FC Basel 1893 1:2 FrayburgFrayburg
1 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.5 Scored
1.0 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLyon - FC Basel 1893

Lyon
0 matches total
FC Basel 1893
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history