Match center
Start
29.01.2026 20:00 UTC
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29.01.2026 20:00 UTC
Finished
UEFA Europa League
Lyon - PAOK
4
:
2
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Lyon - PAOK January 29, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lyon.
Line favourite market consensus: Lyon. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.25 / X 3.50 / 2 3.08
- 1X2 market: Lyon 42.2% / X 27.1% / PAOK 30.8%
- Total 2.5: over probability 53.6%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 5.5%
1
42.1%
X
27.1%
2
30.8%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 4.7%
Over 2.5
53.6%
Under 2.5
46.4%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Lyon - PAOK
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
3.08
market consensus · line only
X
3.50
market consensus · line only
1
2.25
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
1.64
market consensus · line only
12
1.30
market consensus · line only
1X
1.37
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
1.68
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.38
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
3.07
market consensus · line only
2 +1
5.53
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.78
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
2.06
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
2.22
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.61
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.25 44.4% | 2.12 47.2% | 2.33 42.9% | 2.25 44.4% | 2.30 43.5% | 2.20 45.5% | |
| X | 3.45 29.0% | 3.55 28.2% | 3.61 27.7% | 3.50 28.6% | 3.45 29.0% | 3.50 28.6% |
| 2.96 33.8% | 3.05 32.8% | 3.24 30.9% | 3.10 32.3% | 3.05 32.8% | 3.00 33.3% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle | Unibet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.15 46.5% | 2.18 45.9% | 2.24 44.6% | 2.20 45.5% | 2.27 44.1% | 2.25 44.4% | 2.21 45.3% | 2.34 42.7% | 2.20 45.5% |
| yes | 1.62 61.7% | 1.66 60.2% | 1.59 62.9% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.60 62.5% | 1.60 62.5% | 1.59 62.9% | 1.64 61.0% | 1.58 63.3% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.60 62.5% | 1.68 59.5% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.65 60.6% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.67 59.9% |
| home_away | 1.25 80.0% | 1.34 74.6% | 1.28 78.1% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.33 75.2% | 1.32 75.8% |
| home_draw | 1.38 72.5% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.39 71.9% | 1.40 71.4% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.05 95.2% | — | 1.00 100.0% |
| Over 0.75 | — | — | 1.00 100.0% |
| Over 1.0 | — | — | 1.00 100.0% |
| Over 1.25 | — | — | 1.10 90.9% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.25 80.0% | — | 1.21 82.6% |
| Over 1.75 | — | — | 1.26 79.4% |
| Over 2.5 | 1.80 55.6% | — | — |
| Over 2.75 | — | 2.04 49.0% | — |
| Over 3.5 | 3.00 33.3% | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 5.75 17.4% | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 9.50 10.5% | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 3.75 26.7% | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 2.00 50.0% | — | — |
| Under 2.75 | — | 1.85 54.1% | — |
| Under 3.5 | 1.38 72.5% | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 1.13 88.5% | — | — |
Match center
Lyon
W
W
W
L
W
Lyon
1:0
BSC Young Boys
BSC Young Boys
Lyon
2:1
GO Ahead Eagles
GO Ahead Eagles
Lyon
6:0
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Lyon
0:2
Real Betis
Real Betis
Lyon
2:0
FC Basel 1893
FC Basel 1893
4
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
2.2
Scored
0.6
Conceded
12
Points
PAOK
W
D
D
W
W
PAOK
2:0
Real Betis
Real Betis
PAOK
3:3
Ludogorets
Ludogorets
PAOK
1:1
Brann
Brann
PAOK
4:0
BSC Young Boys
BSC Young Boys
PAOK
4:3
Lille
Lille
3
Wins
2
Draws
0
Losses
2.8
Scored
1.4
Conceded
11
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyLyon - PAOK
Lyon
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
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- Full AI consensus of 7 models
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