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UEFA Europa League
UEFA Europa League World
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
02.10.2025 19:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Europa League

Lyon - Red Bull Salzburg

World Football
Lyon
Lyon
2 : 0
Finished
Red Bull Salzburg
Red Bull Salzburg

Lyon meet Red Bull Salzburg on October 2, 2025 in the UEFA Europa League, World.

Recent form (W-D-L): Lyon 2-1-1, Red Bull Salzburg 0-0-1. The bookmaker line makes Lyon the favourite at about 59%. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Lyon - Red Bull Salzburg October 2, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lyon.

Line favourite market consensus: Lyon. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.61 / X 4.20 / 2 5.06
  • 1X2 market: Lyon 58.7% / X 22.6% / Red Bull Salzburg 18.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 57.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.6% 14 books · best price +5.3%
1 58.7%
X 22.6%
2 18.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.9%
Over 2.5 57.8%
Under 2.5 42.2%

Odds source: consensus of 14 books (10Bet, 188Bet, 1xBet, 888Sport, Bet365, Betano). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 02.10.2025 19:00 UTC
Market 1 58.8% @ 1.61 / X 22.5% @ 4.20 / 2 18.7% @ 5.06
Match center

Lyon - Red Bull Salzburg

Form 4/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.08 market consensus · line only
X 4.21 market consensus · line only
1 1.61 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.31 market consensus · line only
12 1.22 market consensus · line only
1X 1.17 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.35 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.83 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 4.70 market consensus · line only
2 +1 9.30 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.65 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.26 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.12 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.67 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.61 62.1%
X 4.39 22.8%
5.29 18.9%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.60 62.5% 1.60 62.5% 1.65 60.6% 1.62 61.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.70 58.8%
X 4.20 23.8% 4.15 24.1% 4.26 23.5% 3.90 25.6% 4.20 23.8% 4.30 23.3%
5.00 20.0% 4.60 21.7% 5.22 19.2% 5.00 20.0% 5.00 20.0% 5.00 20.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.10 47.6% 2.18 45.9% 2.10 47.6% 2.10 47.6% 2.10 47.6% 2.15 46.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.07 48.3% 2.19 45.7%
yes 1.65 60.6% 1.66 60.2% 1.67 59.9% 1.67 59.9% 1.67 59.9% 1.65 60.6% 1.65 60.6% 1.67 59.9% 1.71 58.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 2.30 43.5% 2.32 43.1% 2.30 43.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.27 44.1% 2.32 43.1%
home_away 1.18 84.8% 1.25 80.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.23 81.3% 1.24 80.7%
home_draw 1.15 87.0% 1.18 84.8% 1.17 85.5% 1.17 85.5% 1.20 83.3% 1.18 84.8%
Match center
Lyon
W D L W
25.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Lyon 1:0 UtrechtUtrecht
17.04 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Lyon 2:2 Manchester UnitedManchester United
24.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Lyon 0:1 BeşiktaşBeşiktaş
03.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Lyon 4:1 RangersRangers
2 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.8 Scored
1.0 Conceded
7 Points
Red Bull Salzburg
L
25.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Red Bull Salzburg 0:1 FC PortoFC Porto
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
0.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
0 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLyon - Red Bull Salzburg

Lyon
0 matches total
Red Bull Salzburg
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history