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UEFA Europa League
UEFA Europa League World
29.01.2026 20:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Europa League

Maccabi Tel Aviv - Bologna

World Football
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Maccabi Tel Aviv
0 : 3
Finished
Bologna
Bologna

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Maccabi Tel Aviv - Bologna January 29, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Bologna.

Line favourite market consensus: Bologna. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 9.04 / X 5.30 / 2 1.33
  • 1X2 market: Maccabi Tel Aviv 10.7% / X 18.0% / Bologna 71.3%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 59.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.1%
1 10.5%
X 17.9%
2 71.5%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.0%
Over 2.5 59.1%
Under 2.5 40.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 29.01.2026 20:00 UTC
Match center

Maccabi Tel Aviv - Bologna

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.33 market consensus · line only
X 5.30 market consensus · line only
1 8.94 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.07 market consensus · line only
12 1.15 market consensus · line only
1X 3.36 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.13 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.01 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.40 market consensus · line only
2 +1 1.54 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.61 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.33 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.82 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.92 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair
8.90 11.2% 5.70 17.5% 10.20 9.8% 9.00 11.1% 10.00 10.0% 10.00 10.0%
X 5.10 19.6% 4.40 22.7% 5.63 17.8% 5.50 18.2% 5.60 17.9% 5.00 20.0%
1.31 76.3% 1.47 68.0% 1.35 74.1% 1.30 76.9% 1.34 74.6% 1.29 77.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle Unibet
no 1.75 57.1% 1.92 52.1% 1.77 56.5% 1.80 55.6% 1.78 56.2% 1.87 53.5% 1.75 57.1% 1.85 54.1% 1.86 53.8%
yes 1.95 51.3% 1.86 53.8% 1.96 51.0% 1.95 51.3% 1.98 50.5% 1.87 53.5% 1.96 51.0% 2.00 50.0% 1.82 55.0%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Marathonbet Pinnacle
draw_away 1.06 94.3% 1.07 93.5% 1.07 93.5% 1.08 92.6% 1.07 93.5% 1.08 92.6%
home_away 1.11 90.1% 1.18 84.8% 1.14 87.7% 1.15 87.0% 1.17 85.5% 1.18 84.8%
home_draw 3.30 30.3% 3.50 28.6% 3.25 30.8% 3.45 29.0% 3.58 27.9% 3.54 28.3%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.03 97.1% 1.02 98.0%
Over 0.75 1.00 100.0%
Over 1.0 1.02 98.0%
Over 1.25 1.07 93.5%
Over 1.5 1.20 83.3% 1.16 86.2%
Over 1.75 1.20 83.3%
Over 2.5 1.62 61.7%
Over 2.75 1.93 51.8%
Over 3.5 2.60 38.5%
Over 4.5 4.75 21.1%
Under 0.5 11.00 9.1%
Under 1.5 4.50 22.2%
Under 2.5 2.25 44.4%
Under 2.75 1.96 51.0%
Under 3.5 1.48 67.6%
Under 4.5 1.18 84.8%
Match center
Maccabi Tel Aviv
L L L L L
22.01 17:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
Maccabi Tel Aviv 0:1 FrayburgFrayburg
11.12 17:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
Maccabi Tel Aviv 1:4 VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart
27.11 20:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Maccabi Tel Aviv 0:6 LionLion
06.11 20:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Maccabi Tel Aviv 0:2 Aston VillaAston Villa
23.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Maccabi Tel Aviv 0:3 MidtyullannMidtyullann
0 Wins
0 Draws
5 Losses
0.2 Scored
3.2 Conceded
0 Points
Bologna
D W W D W
22.01 17:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
Bologna 2:2 CelticCeltic
11.12 20:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Bologna 2:1 SeltaSelta
27.11 20:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Bologna 4:1 Red Bull SalzburgRed Bull Salzburg
06.11 20:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Bologna 0:0 BrannBrann
23.10 16:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
Bologna 2:1 FCSBFCSB
3 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
11 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMaccabi Tel Aviv - Bologna

Maccabi Tel Aviv
0 matches total
Bologna
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history