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Start
22.01.2026 17:45 UTC
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22.01.2026 17:45 UTC
Finished
UEFA Europa League
Malmo FF - FK Crvena Zvezda
0
:
1
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Malmo FF - FK Crvena Zvezda January 22, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like FK Crvena Zvezda.
Line favourite market consensus: FK Crvena Zvezda. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.67 / X 3.71 / 2 1.94
- 1X2 market: Malmo FF 25.8% / X 25.5% / FK Crvena Zvezda 48.7%
- Total 2.5: over probability 55.4%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 5.7%
1
25.8%
X
25.5%
2
48.7%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 4.9%
Over 2.5
55.4%
Under 2.5
44.6%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Malmo FF - FK Crvena Zvezda
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.94
market consensus · line only
X
3.71
market consensus · line only
1
3.67
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
1.28
market consensus · line only
12
1.27
market consensus · line only
1X
1.88
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
1.30
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.07
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
1.93
market consensus · line only
2 +1
2.66
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.72
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
2.14
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
2.20
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.63
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.80 26.3% | 3.30 30.3% | 3.86 25.9% | 3.50 28.6% | 3.70 27.0% | 3.60 27.8% | |
| X | 3.65 27.4% | 3.65 27.4% | 3.95 25.3% | 3.50 28.6% | 3.80 26.3% | 3.60 27.8% |
| 1.91 52.4% | 1.99 50.3% | 1.98 50.5% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.91 52.4% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.20 45.5% | 2.11 47.4% | 2.22 45.1% | 2.20 45.5% | 2.20 45.5% | 2.22 45.1% | 2.25 44.4% | 2.19 45.7% | 2.27 44.1% |
| yes | 1.60 62.5% | 1.70 58.8% | 1.60 62.5% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.60 62.5% | 1.60 62.5% | 1.67 59.9% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.25 80.0% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.28 78.1% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.30 76.9% |
| home_away | 1.22 82.0% | 1.29 77.5% | 1.29 77.5% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.27 78.7% | 1.28 78.1% |
| home_draw | 1.85 54.1% | 1.92 52.1% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.83 54.6% | 1.90 52.6% | 1.92 52.1% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.05 95.2% | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| Over 0.75 | — | — | 1.00 100.0% |
| Over 1.0 | — | — | 1.03 97.1% |
| Over 1.25 | — | — | 1.09 91.7% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.25 80.0% | — | 1.18 84.8% |
| Over 1.75 | — | — | 1.24 80.7% |
| Over 2.5 | 1.70 58.8% | — | — |
| Over 2.75 | — | 2.04 49.0% | — |
| Over 3.5 | 2.80 35.7% | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 5.00 20.0% | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 9.50 10.5% | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 3.95 25.3% | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 2.10 47.6% | — | — |
| Under 2.75 | — | 1.85 54.1% | — |
| Under 3.5 | 1.42 70.4% | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 1.17 85.5% | — | — |
Match center
Malmo FF
L
L
L
D
L
Malmo FF
1:2
FC Porto
FC Porto
Malmo FF
0:3
Nottingem Forest
Nottingem Forest
Malmo FF
0:1
Panathinaikos
Panathinaikos
Malmo FF
1:1
Dinamo Zagreb
Dinamo Zagreb
Malmo FF
0:3
Plzen
0
Wins
1
Draws
4
Losses
0.4
Scored
2.0
Conceded
1
Points
FK Crvena Zvezda
W
W
W
L
L
FK Crvena Zvezda
1:0
Sturm Graz
Sturm Graz
FK Crvena Zvezda
1:0
FCSB
FCSB
FK Crvena Zvezda
1:0
Lille
Lille
FK Crvena Zvezda
0:2
Braga
Braga
FK Crvena Zvezda
1:2
FC Porto
FC Porto
3
Wins
0
Draws
2
Losses
0.8
Scored
0.8
Conceded
9
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyMalmo FF - FK Crvena Zvezda
Malmo FF
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
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