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UEFA Europa League
UEFA Europa League World
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
24.09.2025 19:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Europa League

Malmo FF - Ludogorets

World Football
Malmo FF
Malmo FF
1 : 2
Finished
Ludogorets
Ludogorets

Malmo FF meet Ludogorets on September 24, 2025 in the UEFA Europa League, World.

Recent form (W-D-L): Malmo FF 2-0-2, Ludogorets 1-1-2. Sportsbooks lean towards Malmo FF, an implied 59% to win. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Malmo FF - Ludogorets September 24, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Malmo FF.

Line favourite market consensus: Malmo FF. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.62 / X 3.86 / 2 5.65
  • 1X2 market: Malmo FF 58.7% / X 24.5% / Ludogorets 16.8%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 52.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.4% 14 books · best price +1.9%
1 58.7%
X 24.5%
2 16.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.9%
Over 2.5 47.9%
Under 2.5 52.1%

Odds source: consensus of 14 books (10Bet, 188Bet, 1xBet, 888Sport, Bet365, Betano). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 24.09.2025 19:00 UTC
Market 1 58.6% @ 1.62 / X 24.6% @ 3.86 / 2 16.8% @ 5.65
Match center

Malmo FF - Ludogorets

Form 4/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.67 market consensus · line only
X 3.87 market consensus · line only
1 1.62 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.32 market consensus · line only
12 1.25 market consensus · line only
1X 1.14 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.34 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.78 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 5.05 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.61 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.99 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.83 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.81 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.95 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.63 61.4%
X 3.91 25.6%
5.90 17.0%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.62 61.7% 1.60 62.5% 1.62 61.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.60 62.5% 1.65 60.6%
X 3.85 26.0% 3.80 26.3% 3.96 25.3% 3.75 26.7% 3.90 25.6% 3.95 25.3%
5.60 17.9% 5.10 19.6% 5.77 17.3% 5.50 18.2% 5.50 18.2% 6.00 16.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.77 56.5% 1.78 56.2% 1.79 55.9% 1.85 54.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.77 56.5% 1.84 54.4%
yes 1.95 51.3% 2.05 48.8% 1.94 51.6% 1.91 52.4% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 1.91 52.4% 1.94 51.6% 2.02 49.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 2.25 44.4% 2.32 43.1% 2.30 43.5% 2.30 43.5% 2.32 43.1% 2.35 42.6%
home_away 1.20 83.3% 1.26 79.4% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.27 78.7%
home_draw 1.14 87.7% 1.14 87.7% 1.14 87.7% 1.14 87.7% 1.16 86.2% 1.15 87.0%
Match center
Malmo FF
W L W L
28.08 16:30 UTC UEFA Europa League
Malmo FF 2:0 Sigma OlomoutsSigma Olomouts
24.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Malmo FF 0:1 Olympiakos Piraeus
03.10 16:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
Malmo FF 2:1 QarabagQarabag
26.09 16:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
Malmo FF 0:2 RangersRangers
2 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
6 Points
Ludogorets
W L D L
28.08 17:30 UTC UEFA Europa League
Ludogorets 2:1 ShkendijaShkendija
24.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Ludogorets 0:2 AnderlechtAnderlecht
03.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Ludogorets 0:0 Plzen
25.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Ludogorets 0:2 Slavia PrahaSlavia Praha
1 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
0.5 Scored
1.3 Conceded
4 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMalmo FF - Ludogorets

Malmo FF
0 matches total
Ludogorets
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history