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UEFA Europa League
UEFA Europa League World
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
21.08.2025 17:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Europa League

Malmo FF - Sigma Olomouc

World Football
Malmo FF
Malmo FF
3 : 0
Finished
Sigma Olomouc
Sigma Olomouc

Malmo FF face Sigma Olomouc on August 21, 2025 in the UEFA Europa League, World.

Sportsbooks lean towards Malmo FF, an implied 65% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Malmo FF - Sigma Olomouc August 21, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Malmo FF.

Line favourite Fonbet: Malmo FF. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.48 / X 4.30 / 2 7.60
  • 1X2 market: Malmo FF 65.0% / X 22.4% / Sigma Olomouc 12.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 54.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.5% 18 books · best price +9.6%
1 64.0%
X 22.8%
2 13.3%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.8%
Over 2.5 45.5%
Under 2.5 54.5%

Odds source: consensus of 18 books (10Bet, 188Bet, 1xBet, 888Sport, Bet365, Betano). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 21.08.2025 17:00 UTC
Market 1 65.0% @ 1.48 / X 22.4% @ 4.30 / 2 12.7% @ 7.60
Match center

Malmo FF - Sigma Olomouc

Form 3/0 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 7.60 Fonbet · line only
X 4.30 Fonbet · line only
1 1.48 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
X2 2.65 Fonbet · line only
12 1.22 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.09 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.54 market consensus · line only
2 -1 2.05 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 5.63 market consensus · line only
2 +1 8.50 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.10 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.75 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.60 Fonbet · line only
Yes 2.30 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.48 67.6%
X 4.35 23.0%
7.23 13.8%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.45 69.0% 1.56 64.1% 1.49 67.1% 1.44 69.4% 1.45 69.0% 1.50 66.7%
X 4.00 25.0% 4.05 24.7% 4.27 23.4% 4.00 25.0% 4.10 24.4% 4.10 24.4%
7.00 14.3% 5.10 19.6% 7.70 13.0% 6.00 16.7% 7.50 13.3% 7.00 14.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Betway Bwin
no 1.55 64.5% 1.85 54.1% 1.58 63.3% 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7% 1.60 62.5% 1.57 63.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.52 65.8%
yes 2.25 44.4% 1.93 51.8% 2.25 44.4% 2.30 43.5% 2.50 40.0% 2.25 44.4% 2.25 44.4% 2.25 44.4% 2.35 42.6%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betway
draw_away 2.62 38.2% 2.71 36.9% 2.63 38.0% 2.62 38.2% 2.65 37.7% 2.70 37.0%
home_away 1.18 84.8% 1.24 80.7% 1.22 82.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.22 82.0%
home_draw 1.09 91.7% 1.10 90.9% 1.08 92.6% 1.07 93.5% 1.12 89.3% 1.10 90.9%
Match center
Malmo FF
L W L
24.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Malmo FF 0:1 Olympiakos Piraeus
03.10 16:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
Malmo FF 2:1 QarabagQarabag
26.09 16:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
Malmo FF 0:2 RangersRangers
1 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
0.7 Scored
1.3 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMalmo FF - Sigma Olomouc

Malmo FF
0 matches total
Sigma Olomouc
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history