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UEFA Europa League
UEFA Europa League World
27.11.2025 20:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Europa League

Panathinaikos - Sturm Graz

World Football
Panathinaikos
Panathinaikos
2 : 1
Finished
Sturm Graz
Sturm Graz

Panathinaikos take on Sturm Graz on November 27, 2025 in the UEFA Europa League, World.

Recent form (W-D-L): Panathinaikos 2-1-2, Sturm Graz 1-1-2. Sportsbooks lean towards Panathinaikos, an implied 56% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Panathinaikos - Sturm Graz November 27, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Panathinaikos.

Line favourite market consensus: Panathinaikos. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.69 / X 3.84 / 2 4.93
  • 1X2 market: Panathinaikos 56.0% / X 24.7% / Sturm Graz 19.3%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 51.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.5%
1 56.1%
X 24.7%
2 19.2%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.6%
Over 2.5 51.7%
Under 2.5 48.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 27.11.2025 20:00 UTC
Market 1 56.1% @ 1.69 / X 24.7% @ 3.84 / 2 19.2% @ 4.93
Match center

Panathinaikos - Sturm Graz

Form 5/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.93 market consensus · line only
X 3.84 market consensus · line only
1 1.69 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.18 market consensus · line only
12 1.26 market consensus · line only
1X 1.18 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.20 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.68 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 4.55 market consensus · line only
2 +1 9.90 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.85 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.98 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.96 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.79 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.68 59.5% 1.68 59.5% 1.74 57.5% 1.67 59.9% 1.67 59.9% 1.72 58.1%
X 3.80 26.3% 3.85 26.0% 3.96 25.3% 3.60 27.8% 3.90 25.6% 4.00 25.0%
5.00 20.0% 4.45 22.5% 5.31 18.8% 4.80 20.8% 5.00 20.0% 5.10 19.6%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.95 51.3% 1.90 52.6% 1.95 51.3% 2.00 50.0% 1.95 51.3% 1.98 50.5% 1.95 51.3% 1.93 51.8% 2.03 49.3%
yes 1.77 56.5% 1.87 53.5% 1.78 56.2% 1.75 57.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.78 56.2% 1.80 55.6% 1.78 56.2% 1.83 54.6%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 2.15 46.5% 2.22 45.1% 2.15 46.5% 2.10 47.6% 2.18 45.9% 2.23 44.8%
home_away 1.20 83.3% 1.29 77.5% 1.29 77.5% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.28 78.1%
home_draw 1.17 85.5% 1.19 84.0% 1.17 85.5% 1.17 85.5% 1.20 83.3% 1.18 84.8%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.05 95.2% 1.02 98.0%
Over 0.75 1.01 99.0%
Over 1.0 1.02 98.0%
Over 1.25 1.12 89.3%
Over 1.5 1.25 80.0% 1.24 80.7%
Over 1.75 1.30 76.9%
Over 2.5 1.83 54.6% 1.96 51.0%
Over 3.5 3.00 33.3%
Over 4.5 5.75 17.4%
Under 0.5 9.50 10.5%
Under 1.5 3.70 27.0%
Under 2.5 1.95 51.3% 1.93 51.8%
Under 3.5 1.38 72.5%
Under 4.5 1.12 89.3%
Match center
Panathinaikos
W L L W D
06.11 17:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
Panathinaikos 1:0 Malmo FF
23.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Panathinaikos 1:3 FeyenoordFeyenoord
02.10 16:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
Panathinaikos 1:2 GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles
25.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Panathinaikos 4:1 BSC Young BoysBSC Young Boys
28.08 17:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Panathinaikos 0:0 SamsunsporSamsunspor
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.2 Conceded
7 Points
Sturm Graz
D L W L
06.11 17:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
Sturm Graz 0:0 Nottingem ForestNottingem Forest
23.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Sturm Graz 1:2 CelticCeltic
02.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Sturm Graz 2:1 RangersRangers
24.09 16:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
Sturm Graz 0:2 MidtyullannMidtyullann
1 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.3 Conceded
4 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyPanathinaikos - Sturm Graz

Panathinaikos
0 matches total
Sturm Graz
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history