Match center
Start
22.01.2026 17:45 UTC
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22.01.2026 17:45 UTC
Finished
UEFA Europa League
Plzen - FC Porto
1
:
1
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Plzen - FC Porto January 22, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like FC Porto.
Line favourite market consensus: FC Porto. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.74 / X 3.53 / 2 1.79
- 1X2 market: Plzen 20.1% / X 26.9% / FC Porto 53.0%
- Total 2.5: over probability 55.0%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 5.3%
1
20.0%
X
26.9%
2
53.1%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 5.0%
Over 2.5
44.9%
Under 2.5
55.1%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Plzen - FC Porto
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.79
market consensus · line only
X
3.53
market consensus · line only
1
4.74
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
1.19
market consensus · line only
12
1.29
market consensus · line only
1X
2.05
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
1.23
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.10
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
1.78
market consensus · line only
2 +1
2.42
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
2.12
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
1.73
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.79
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.96
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.50 22.2% | 4.00 25.0% | 5.06 19.8% | 4.60 21.7% | 4.75 21.1% | 5.10 19.6% | |
| X | 3.45 29.0% | 3.35 29.9% | 3.72 26.9% | 3.50 28.6% | 3.60 27.8% | 3.60 27.8% |
| 1.81 55.3% | 1.88 53.2% | 1.82 55.0% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.82 55.0% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 1.80 55.6% | 1.86 53.8% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.78 56.2% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.74 57.5% | 1.81 55.3% |
| yes | 1.91 52.4% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.98 50.5% | 1.91 52.4% | 2.00 50.0% | 1.98 50.5% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.98 50.5% | 2.06 48.5% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.20 83.3% | 1.21 82.6% | 1.18 84.8% | 1.18 84.8% | 1.20 83.3% | 1.20 83.3% |
| home_away | 1.25 80.0% | 1.32 75.8% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.28 78.1% | 1.29 77.5% | 1.31 76.3% |
| home_draw | 1.95 51.3% | 2.10 47.6% | 2.05 48.8% | 2.00 50.0% | 2.07 48.3% | 2.10 47.6% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.07 93.5% | — | 1.03 97.1% |
| Over 0.75 | — | — | 1.04 96.2% |
| Over 1.0 | — | — | 1.06 94.3% |
| Over 1.25 | — | — | 1.20 83.3% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.36 73.5% | — | — |
| Over 2.25 | — | 1.86 53.8% | — |
| Over 2.5 | 2.10 47.6% | 2.05 48.8% | — |
| Over 3.5 | 3.80 26.3% | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 7.50 13.3% | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.00 12.5% | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 3.10 32.3% | — | — |
| Under 2.25 | — | 2.03 49.3% | — |
| Under 2.5 | 1.70 58.8% | 1.77 56.5% | — |
| Under 3.5 | 1.25 80.0% | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 1.08 92.6% | — | — |
Match center
Plzen
D
D
D
W
W
Plzen
0:0
Panathinaikos
Panathinaikos
Plzen
0:0
Frayburg
Frayburg
Plzen
0:0
Fenerbahçe
Fenerbahçe
Plzen
2:1
AS Roma
AS Roma
Plzen
3:0
Malmo FF
2
Wins
3
Draws
0
Losses
1.0
Scored
0.2
Conceded
9
Points
FC Porto
W
W
D
L
W
FC Porto
2:1
Malmo FF
FC Porto
3:0
Nice
Nice
FC Porto
1:1
Utrecht
Utrecht
FC Porto
0:2
Nottingem Forest
Nottingem Forest
FC Porto
2:1
FK Crvena Zvezda
3
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
1.6
Scored
1.0
Conceded
10
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyPlzen - FC Porto
Plzen
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
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