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Start
22.01.2026 20:00 UTC
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22.01.2026 20:00 UTC
Finished
UEFA Europa League
Red Bull Salzburg - FC Basel 1893
3
:
1
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Red Bull Salzburg - FC Basel 1893 January 22, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Red Bull Salzburg.
Line favourite market consensus: Red Bull Salzburg. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.11 / X 3.87 / 2 3.09
- 1X2 market: Red Bull Salzburg 44.9% / X 24.5% / FC Basel 1893 30.7%
- Total 2.5: over probability 64.4%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 5.6%
1
44.9%
X
24.5%
2
30.6%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 6.4%
Over 2.5
64.4%
Under 2.5
35.6%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Red Bull Salzburg - FC Basel 1893
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
3.09
market consensus · line only
X
3.87
market consensus · line only
1
2.11
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
1.75
market consensus · line only
12
1.26
market consensus · line only
1X
1.37
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
1.75
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.39
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
3.11
market consensus · line only
2 +1
5.07
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.46
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
2.64
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
2.65
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.44
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.08 48.1% | 2.35 42.6% | 2.15 46.5% | 2.05 48.8% | 2.05 48.8% | 2.10 47.6% | |
| X | 3.90 25.6% | 3.75 26.7% | 4.09 24.5% | 3.75 26.7% | 3.90 25.6% | 3.60 27.8% |
| 3.10 32.3% | 2.55 39.2% | 3.27 30.6% | 3.00 33.3% | 3.20 31.3% | 3.10 32.3% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.65 37.7% | 2.55 39.2% | 2.77 36.1% | 2.63 38.0% | 2.62 38.2% | 2.75 36.4% | 2.38 42.0% | 2.72 36.8% | 2.85 35.1% |
| yes | 1.42 70.4% | 1.50 66.7% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.44 69.4% | 1.44 69.4% | 1.42 70.4% | 1.50 66.7% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.45 69.0% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.73 57.8% | 1.78 56.2% | 1.73 57.8% | 1.73 57.8% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.78 56.2% |
| home_away | 1.20 83.3% | 1.28 78.1% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.27 78.7% | 1.27 78.7% |
| home_draw | 1.35 74.1% | 1.39 71.9% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.38 72.5% | 1.38 72.5% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.03 97.1% | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| Over 1.0 | — | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| Over 1.25 | — | — | 1.07 93.5% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.15 87.0% | — | 1.09 91.7% |
| Over 2.5 | 1.48 67.6% | — | — |
| Over 3.0 | — | 1.94 51.6% | — |
| Over 3.5 | 2.20 45.5% | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 3.70 27.0% | — | — |
| Over 5.5 | 6.50 15.4% | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 11.00 9.1% | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 5.25 19.1% | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 2.60 38.5% | — | — |
| Under 3.0 | — | 1.95 51.3% | — |
| Under 3.5 | 1.65 60.6% | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 1.25 80.0% | — | — |
| Under 5.5 | 1.10 90.9% | — | — |
Match center
Red Bull Salzburg
L
L
W
L
L
Red Bull Salzburg
0:1
Frayburg
Frayburg
Red Bull Salzburg
1:4
Bologna
Bologna
Red Bull Salzburg
2:0
GO Ahead Eagles
GO Ahead Eagles
Red Bull Salzburg
2:3
Ferentsvarosh
Ferentsvarosh
Red Bull Salzburg
0:2
Lion
Lion
1
Wins
0
Draws
4
Losses
1.0
Scored
2.0
Conceded
3
Points
FC Basel 1893
L
L
W
L
W
FC Basel 1893
1:2
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
FC Basel 1893
1:2
Genk
Genk
FC Basel 1893
3:1
FCSB
FCSB
FC Basel 1893
0:2
Lion
Lion
FC Basel 1893
2:0
VfB Stuttgart
VfB Stuttgart
2
Wins
0
Draws
3
Losses
1.4
Scored
1.4
Conceded
6
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyRed Bull Salzburg - FC Basel 1893
Red Bull Salzburg
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
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