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UEFA Europa League
UEFA Europa League World
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
25.09.2025 19:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Europa League

Red Bull Salzburg - FC Porto

World Football
Red Bull Salzburg
Red Bull Salzburg
0 : 1
Finished
FC Porto
FC Porto

Red Bull Salzburg face FC Porto on September 25, 2025 in the UEFA Europa League, World.

The market favourite is FC Porto at roughly 53%. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Red Bull Salzburg - FC Porto September 25, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like FC Porto.

Line favourite market consensus: FC Porto. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.29 / X 3.84 / 2 1.81
  • 1X2 market: Red Bull Salzburg 22.5% / X 24.8% / FC Porto 52.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 56.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.6% 7 books · best price +17.7%
1 21.7%
X 24.5%
2 53.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.5%
Over 2.5 56.3%
Under 2.5 43.7%

Odds source: consensus of 7 books (188Bet, 1xBet, Bet365, Marathonbet, Pinnacle, SStats Consensus). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 25.09.2025 19:00 UTC
Market 1 22.3% @ 4.29 / X 24.9% @ 3.84 / 2 52.8% @ 1.81
Match center

Red Bull Salzburg - FC Porto

Form 0/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.80 market consensus · line only
X 3.85 market consensus · line only
1 4.34 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.21 market consensus · line only
12 1.27 market consensus · line only
1X 2.07 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.24 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.06 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.83 market consensus · line only
2 +1 2.31 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.70 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.19 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.18 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.65 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
4.73 21.1%
X 3.94 25.4%
1.75 57.1%

Match Winner

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle SStats Consensus
3.10 32.3% 4.35 23.0% 4.50 22.2% 4.40 22.7% 4.73 21.1% 4.73 21.1%
X 3.65 27.4% 3.92 25.5% 3.80 26.3% 3.90 25.6% 3.94 25.4% 3.94 25.4%
2.06 48.5% 1.80 55.6% 1.75 57.1% 1.78 56.2% 1.75 57.1% 1.75 57.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle William Hill
no 2.24 44.6% 2.18 45.9% 2.10 47.6% 2.16 46.3% 2.23 44.8% 2.15 46.5%
yes 1.63 61.4% 1.62 61.7% 1.67 59.9% 1.62 61.7% 1.69 59.2% 1.67 59.9%

Double chance

Outcome 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle SStats Consensus William Hill
draw_away 1.22 82.0% 1.18 84.8% 1.22 82.0% 1.21 82.6% 1.21 82.6% 1.22 82.0%
home_away 1.26 79.4% 1.25 80.0% 1.27 78.7% 1.29 77.5% 1.29 77.5% 1.25 80.0%
home_draw 2.04 49.0% 2.00 50.0% 2.07 48.3% 2.16 46.3% 2.16 46.3% 2.00 50.0%
Match center
FC Porto
W D L
24.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
FC Porto 2:0 1899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim
03.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
FC Porto 3:3 Manchester UnitedManchester United
25.09 16:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
FC Porto 2:3 Bodo/Glimt
1 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
2.3 Scored
2.0 Conceded
4 Points