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UEFA Europa League
UEFA Europa League World
22.01.2026 20:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Europa League

SC Braga - Nottingham Forest

World Football
SC Braga
SC Braga
1 : 0
Finished
Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction SC Braga - Nottingham Forest January 22, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Nottingham Forest.

Line favourite market consensus: Nottingham Forest. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.78 / X 3.18 / 2 2.60
  • 1X2 market: SC Braga 34.0% / X 29.7% / Nottingham Forest 36.3%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 56.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.9%
1 34.0%
X 29.7%
2 36.3%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.7%
Over 2.5 43.8%
Under 2.5 56.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 22.01.2026 20:00 UTC
Match center

SC Braga - Nottingham Forest

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.60 market consensus · line only
X 3.18 market consensus · line only
1 2.78 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.44 market consensus · line only
12 1.35 market consensus · line only
1X 1.50 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.45 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.15 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.57 market consensus · line only
2 +1 4.57 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.18 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.70 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.92 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.83 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.78 36.0% 2.58 38.8% 2.94 34.0% 2.63 38.0% 2.80 35.7% 2.77 36.1%
X 3.15 31.8% 3.30 30.3% 3.23 31.0% 3.20 31.3% 3.20 31.3% 3.00 33.3%
2.60 38.5% 2.54 39.4% 2.74 36.5% 2.50 40.0% 2.62 38.2% 2.60 38.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.93 51.8% 2.08 48.1% 1.87 53.5% 1.85 54.1% 1.95 51.3% 1.88 53.2% 1.87 53.5% 1.85 54.1% 1.93 51.8%
yes 1.77 56.5% 1.73 57.8% 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.87 53.5% 1.85 54.1% 1.92 52.1%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.42 70.4% 1.46 68.5% 1.44 69.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.45 69.0% 1.45 69.0%
home_away 1.30 76.9% 1.40 71.4% 1.30 76.9% 1.33 75.2% 1.36 73.5% 1.39 71.9%
home_draw 1.48 67.6% 1.52 65.8% 1.53 65.4% 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7% 1.51 66.2%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.07 93.5% 1.02 98.0%
Over 0.75 1.04 96.2%
Over 1.0 1.06 94.3%
Over 1.25 1.21 82.6%
Over 1.5 1.38 72.5% 1.36 73.5%
Over 1.75 1.46 68.5%
Over 2.5 2.10 47.6% 1.99 50.3%
Over 3.5 3.80 26.3%
Over 4.5 7.50 13.3%
Under 0.5 8.00 12.5%
Under 1.5 3.00 33.3%
Under 2.5 1.70 58.8% 1.90 52.6%
Under 3.5 1.25 80.0%
Under 4.5 1.08 92.6%
Match center
SC Braga
W D L W W
11.12 17:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
SC Braga 1:0 NiceNice
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SC Braga 1:1 RangersRangers
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SC Braga 3:4 GenkGenk
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SC Braga 2:0 FK Crvena Zvezda
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SC Braga 2:0 CelticCeltic
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.8 Scored
1.0 Conceded
10 Points
Nottingham Forest
W W D W L
11.12 17:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
Nottingham Forest 2:1 UtrechtUtrecht
27.11 20:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Nottingham Forest 3:0 Malmo FF
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Nottingham Forest 0:0 Sturm GrazSturm Graz
23.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Nottingham Forest 2:0 FC PortoFC Porto
02.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Nottingham Forest 2:3 MidtyullannMidtyullann
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.8 Scored
0.8 Conceded
10 Points