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UEFA Europa League
UEFA Europa League World
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
24.09.2025 19:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Europa League

SC Freiburg - FC Basel 1893

World Football
SC Freiburg
SC Freiburg
2 : 1
Finished
FC Basel 1893
FC Basel 1893

SC Freiburg take on FC Basel 1893 on September 24, 2025 in the UEFA Europa League, World.

Sportsbooks lean towards SC Freiburg, an implied 64% to win. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction SC Freiburg - FC Basel 1893 September 24, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like SC Freiburg.

Line favourite market consensus: SC Freiburg. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.47 / X 4.59 / 2 6.17
  • 1X2 market: SC Freiburg 64.2% / X 20.5% / FC Basel 1893 15.3%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 61.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.8% 14 books · best price +2.7%
1 64.3%
X 20.4%
2 15.3%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.0%
Over 2.5 61.7%
Under 2.5 38.3%

Odds source: consensus of 14 books (10Bet, 188Bet, 1xBet, 888Sport, Bet365, Betano). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 24.09.2025 19:00 UTC
Market 1 64.2% @ 1.47 / X 20.5% @ 4.59 / 2 15.3% @ 6.17
Match center

SC Freiburg - FC Basel 1893

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.19 market consensus · line only
X 4.60 market consensus · line only
1 1.47 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.65 market consensus · line only
12 1.19 market consensus · line only
1X 1.12 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.60 market consensus · line only
2 -1 2.12 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 5.68 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.52 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.53 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.46 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.13 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.67 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.48 67.6%
X 4.75 21.1%
6.52 15.3%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.48 67.6% 1.44 69.4% 1.49 67.1% 1.44 69.4% 1.45 69.0% 1.52 65.8%
X 4.70 21.3% 4.55 22.0% 4.72 21.2% 4.33 23.1% 4.50 22.2% 4.75 21.1%
5.80 17.2% 5.90 17.0% 6.37 15.7% 6.00 16.7% 6.25 16.0% 6.40 15.6%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.10 47.6% 2.13 47.0% 2.11 47.4% 2.10 47.6% 2.05 48.8% 2.07 48.3% 2.20 45.5% 2.08 48.1% 2.21 45.3%
yes 1.65 60.6% 1.70 58.8% 1.67 59.9% 1.67 59.9% 1.70 58.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.62 61.7% 1.67 59.9% 1.71 58.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 2.60 38.5% 2.67 37.5% 2.60 38.5% 2.62 38.2% 2.65 37.7% 2.71 36.9%
home_away 1.15 87.0% 1.20 83.3% 1.20 83.3% 1.18 84.8% 1.20 83.3% 1.21 82.6%
home_draw 1.11 90.1% 1.12 89.3% 1.13 88.5% 1.12 89.3% 1.15 87.0% 1.13 88.5%