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Start
22.01.2026 17:45 UTC
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22.01.2026 17:45 UTC
Finished
UEFA Europa League
SC Freiburg - Maccabi Tel Aviv
1
:
0
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction SC Freiburg - Maccabi Tel Aviv January 22, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like SC Freiburg.
Line favourite market consensus: SC Freiburg. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.20 / X 6.87 / 2 13.70
- 1X2 market: SC Freiburg 79.1% / X 13.9% / Maccabi Tel Aviv 7.0%
- Total 2.5: over probability 60.4%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 5.2%
1
79.2%
X
13.8%
2
6.9%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 5.4%
Over 2.5
60.5%
Under 2.5
39.5%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
SC Freiburg - Maccabi Tel Aviv
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
X
6.87
market consensus · line only
1
1.20
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
4.51
market consensus · line only
12
1.11
market consensus · line only
1X
1.04
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
4.50
market consensus · line only
2 -1
3.59
market consensus · line only
1 -0.5
1.19
market consensus · line only
1 -1
1.26
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.57
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
2.40
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.59
market consensus · line only
Yes
2.25
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.21 82.6% | 1.15 87.0% | 1.24 80.7% | 1.20 83.3% | 1.20 83.3% | 1.23 81.3% | |
| X | 6.25 16.0% | 7.10 14.1% | 7.25 13.8% | 6.50 15.4% | 7.00 14.3% | 6.80 14.7% |
| 13.50 7.4% | 14.50 6.9% | 13.80 7.3% | 13.00 7.7% | 13.00 7.7% | 15.50 6.5% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 1.60 62.5% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.58 63.3% | 1.60 62.5% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.60 62.5% | 1.60 62.5% | 1.56 64.1% | 1.57 63.7% |
| yes | 2.20 45.5% | 2.45 40.8% | 2.27 44.1% | 2.15 46.5% | 2.20 45.5% | 2.25 44.4% | 1.95 51.3% | 2.27 44.1% | 2.47 40.5% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 4.20 23.8% | 4.52 22.1% | 4.60 21.7% | 4.33 23.1% | 4.55 22.0% | 4.60 21.7% |
| home_away | 1.10 90.9% | 1.13 88.5% | 1.10 90.9% | 1.10 90.9% | 1.12 89.3% | 1.12 89.3% |
| home_draw | 1.04 96.2% | 1.04 96.2% | 1.04 96.2% | 1.04 96.2% | 1.05 95.2% | 1.04 96.2% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.03 97.1% | — | 1.02 98.0% |
| Over 1.0 | — | — | 1.02 98.0% |
| Over 1.25 | — | — | 1.07 93.5% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.18 84.8% | — | 1.14 87.7% |
| Over 2.5 | 1.57 63.7% | — | — |
| Over 3.0 | — | 1.84 54.4% | — |
| Over 3.5 | 2.45 40.8% | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 4.33 23.1% | — | — |
| Over 5.5 | 8.00 12.5% | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 11.00 9.1% | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 4.75 21.1% | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 2.35 42.6% | — | — |
| Under 3.0 | — | 2.05 48.8% | — |
| Under 3.5 | 1.53 65.4% | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 1.20 83.3% | — | — |
| Under 5.5 | 1.07 93.5% | — | — |
Match center
SC Freiburg
W
D
W
W
D
SC Freiburg
1:0
Red Bull Salzburg
Red Bull Salzburg
SC Freiburg
0:0
Plzen
SC Freiburg
3:1
Nice
Nice
SC Freiburg
2:0
Utrecht
Utrecht
SC Freiburg
1:1
Bologna
Bologna
3
Wins
2
Draws
0
Losses
1.4
Scored
0.4
Conceded
11
Points
Maccabi Tel Aviv
L
L
L
L
L
Maccabi Tel Aviv
1:4
VfB Stuttgart
VfB Stuttgart
Maccabi Tel Aviv
0:6
Lion
Lion
Maccabi Tel Aviv
0:2
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
Maccabi Tel Aviv
0:3
Midtyullann
Midtyullann
Maccabi Tel Aviv
1:3
Dinamo Zagreb
Dinamo Zagreb
0
Wins
0
Draws
5
Losses
0.4
Scored
3.6
Conceded
0
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historySC Freiburg - Maccabi Tel Aviv
SC Freiburg
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
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