Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
UEFA Europa League
UEFA Europa League World
11.12.2025 20:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Europa League

SC Freiburg - Red Bull Salzburg

World Football
SC Freiburg
SC Freiburg
1 : 0
Finished
Red Bull Salzburg
Red Bull Salzburg

SC Freiburg go head-to-head with Red Bull Salzburg on December 11, 2025 in the UEFA Europa League, World.

Recent form (W-D-L): SC Freiburg 3-2-0, Red Bull Salzburg 1-0-4. The bookmaker line makes SC Freiburg the favourite at about 65%. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction SC Freiburg - Red Bull Salzburg December 11, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like SC Freiburg.

Line favourite market consensus: SC Freiburg. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.45 / X 4.57 / 2 6.60
  • 1X2 market: SC Freiburg 65.0% / X 20.7% / Red Bull Salzburg 14.4%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 57.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.0%
1 65.1%
X 20.6%
2 14.3%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.3%
Over 2.5 57.2%
Under 2.5 42.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 11.12.2025 20:00 UTC
Market 1 65.1% @ 1.45 / X 20.6% @ 4.57 / 2 14.3% @ 6.60
Match center

SC Freiburg - Red Bull Salzburg

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.60 market consensus · line only
X 4.57 market consensus · line only
1 1.45 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.69 market consensus · line only
12 1.20 market consensus · line only
1X 1.12 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.72 market consensus · line only
2 -1 2.11 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 5.90 market consensus · line only
2 +1 9.90 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.66 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.22 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.95 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.80 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.45 69.0% 1.37 73.0% 1.51 66.2% 1.44 69.4% 1.45 69.0% 1.52 65.8%
X 4.40 22.7% 4.50 22.2% 4.80 20.8% 4.50 22.2% 4.50 22.2% 4.65 21.5%
7.00 14.3% 5.80 17.2% 6.80 14.7% 6.00 16.7% 7.00 14.3% 6.70 14.9%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.93 51.8% 2.00 50.0% 1.95 51.3% 1.91 52.4% 1.91 52.4% 1.93 51.8% 1.95 51.3% 1.93 51.8% 2.05 48.8%
yes 1.77 56.5% 1.79 55.9% 1.78 56.2% 1.83 54.6% 1.91 52.4% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.78 56.2% 1.82 55.0%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 2.65 37.7% 2.74 36.5% 2.63 38.0% 2.62 38.2% 2.67 37.5% 2.76 36.2%
home_away 1.17 85.5% 1.22 82.0% 1.20 83.3% 1.18 84.8% 1.20 83.3% 1.22 82.0%
home_draw 1.10 90.9% 1.14 87.7% 1.13 88.5% 1.10 90.9% 1.14 87.7% 1.13 88.5%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.04 96.2% 1.01 99.0%
Over 0.75 1.00 100.0%
Over 1.0 1.04 96.2%
Over 1.25 1.08 92.6%
Over 1.5 1.22 82.0%
Over 2.5 1.67 59.9%
Over 3.0 1.92 52.1%
Over 3.5 2.70 37.0%
Over 4.5 4.75 21.1%
Over 5.5 7.00 14.3%
Under 0.5 10.00 10.0%
Under 1.5 4.20 23.8%
Under 2.5 2.15 46.5%
Under 3.0 1.97 50.8%
Under 3.5 1.45 69.0%
Under 4.5 1.18 84.8%
Under 5.5 1.09 91.7%
Match center
SC Freiburg
D W W D W
27.11 17:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
SC Freiburg 0:0 Plzen
06.11 17:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
SC Freiburg 3:1 NiceNice
23.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
SC Freiburg 2:0 UtrechtUtrecht
02.10 16:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
SC Freiburg 1:1 BolognaBologna
24.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
SC Freiburg 2:1 FC Basel 1893FC Basel 1893
3 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
1.6 Scored
0.6 Conceded
11 Points
Red Bull Salzburg
L W L L L
27.11 20:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Red Bull Salzburg 1:4 BolognaBologna
06.11 17:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
Red Bull Salzburg 2:0 GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles
23.10 16:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
Red Bull Salzburg 2:3 FerentsvaroshFerentsvarosh
02.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Red Bull Salzburg 0:2 LionLion
25.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Red Bull Salzburg 0:1 FC PortoFC Porto
1 Wins
0 Draws
4 Losses
1.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
3 Points