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UEFA Europa League
UEFA Europa League World
23.10.2025 19:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Europa League

SC Freiburg - Utrecht

World Football
SC Freiburg
SC Freiburg
2 : 0
Finished
Utrecht
Utrecht

SC Freiburg go head-to-head with Utrecht on October 23, 2025 in the UEFA Europa League, World.

Recent form (W-D-L): SC Freiburg 1-1-0, Utrecht 1-1-2. The bookmaker line makes SC Freiburg the favourite at about 63%. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction SC Freiburg - Utrecht October 23, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like SC Freiburg.

Line favourite Fonbet: SC Freiburg. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.50 / X 4.30 / 2 6.60
  • 1X2 market: SC Freiburg 63.5% / X 22.1% / Utrecht 14.4%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 52.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.1%
1 63.4%
X 22.1%
2 14.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.6%
Over 2.5 52.6%
Under 2.5 47.4%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 23.10.2025 19:00 UTC
Market 1 63.4% @ 1.50 / X 22.1% @ 4.30 / 2 14.4% @ 6.60
Match center

SC Freiburg - Utrecht

Form 2/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.60 Fonbet · line only
X 4.30 Fonbet · line only
1 1.50 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
X2 2.60 Fonbet · line only
12 1.22 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.11 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.57 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.98 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 5.93 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.50 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.80 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 2.00 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.85 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.90 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.51 66.2% 1.44 69.4% 1.52 65.8% 1.44 69.4% 1.50 66.7% 1.53 65.4%
X 4.30 23.3% 4.15 24.1% 4.61 21.7% 4.20 23.8% 4.20 23.8% 4.50 22.2%
6.00 16.7% 5.30 18.9% 7.01 14.3% 6.00 16.7% 6.25 16.0% 6.60 15.2%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Betway Bwin
no 1.85 54.1% 1.91 52.4% 1.84 54.4% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.87 53.5% 1.85 54.1% 1.75 57.1%
yes 1.85 54.1% 1.87 53.5% 1.88 53.2% 1.91 52.4% 1.95 51.3% 1.88 53.2% 1.87 53.5% 1.91 52.4% 1.93 51.8%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betway
draw_away 2.50 40.0% 2.70 37.0% 2.63 38.0% 2.50 40.0% 2.60 38.5% 2.60 38.5%
home_away 1.18 84.8% 1.24 80.7% 1.22 82.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.21 82.6% 1.20 83.3%
home_draw 1.11 90.1% 1.13 88.5% 1.11 90.1% 1.12 89.3% 1.14 87.7% 1.13 88.5%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.05 95.2% 1.00 100.0%
Over 1.0 1.00 100.0%
Over 1.25 1.10 90.9%
Over 1.5 1.25 80.0% 1.21 82.6%
Over 1.75 1.27 78.7%
Over 2.0 1.35 74.1%
Over 2.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 2.75 1.94 51.6%
Over 3.5 3.00 33.3%
Over 4.5 5.75 17.4%
Under 0.5 9.50 10.5%
Under 1.5 3.80 26.3%
Under 2.5 2.00 50.0%
Under 2.75 1.95 51.3%
Under 3.5 1.38 72.5%
Under 4.5 1.13 88.5%
Match center
SC Freiburg
D W
02.10 16:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
SC Freiburg 1:1 BolognaBologna
24.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
SC Freiburg 2:1 FC Basel 1893FC Basel 1893
1 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.5 Scored
1.0 Conceded
4 Points
Utrecht
L L D W
02.10 16:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
Utrecht 0:1 BrannBrann
25.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Utrecht 0:1 LionLion
28.08 18:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Utrecht 0:0 ZrinjskiZrinjski
14.08 18:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Utrecht 2:1 Servette FCServette FC
1 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
0.5 Scored
0.8 Conceded
4 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historySC Freiburg - Utrecht

SC Freiburg
0 matches total
Utrecht
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history