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UEFA Europa League
UEFA Europa League World
29.01.2026 20:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Europa League

Sturm Graz - Brann

World Football
Sturm Graz
Sturm Graz
1 : 0
Finished
Brann
Brann

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Sturm Graz - Brann January 29, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Brann.

Line favourite market consensus: Brann. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.00 / X 3.32 / 2 2.38
  • 1X2 market: Sturm Graz 31.6% / X 28.6% / Brann 39.9%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 51.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.5%
1 31.6%
X 28.6%
2 39.8%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.5%
Over 2.5 49.1%
Under 2.5 50.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 29.01.2026 20:00 UTC
Match center

Sturm Graz - Brann

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.38 market consensus · line only
X 3.32 market consensus · line only
1 3.00 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.38 market consensus · line only
12 1.32 market consensus · line only
1X 1.58 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.41 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.15 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.34 market consensus · line only
2 +1 3.68 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.95 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.88 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.10 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.69 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair
2.96 33.8% 2.72 36.8% 3.17 31.6% 3.10 32.3% 3.10 32.3% 3.00 33.3%
X 3.30 30.3% 3.55 28.2% 3.40 29.4% 3.25 30.8% 3.30 30.3% 3.25 30.8%
2.32 43.1% 2.33 42.9% 2.47 40.5% 2.40 41.7% 2.37 42.2% 2.30 43.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle Unibet
no 2.00 50.0% 2.40 41.7% 2.02 49.5% 2.05 48.8% 2.05 48.8% 2.05 48.8% 2.00 50.0% 2.15 46.5% 2.18 45.9%
yes 1.73 57.8% 1.56 64.1% 1.72 58.1% 1.70 58.8% 1.72 58.1% 1.73 57.8% 1.72 58.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.58 63.3%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Marathonbet Pinnacle
draw_away 1.38 72.5% 1.41 70.9% 1.36 73.5% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.37 73.0% 1.33 75.2% 1.32 75.8% 1.36 73.5% 1.35 74.1%
home_draw 1.57 63.7% 1.61 62.1% 1.53 65.4% 1.62 61.7% 1.61 62.1% 1.62 61.7%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.06 94.3% 1.02 98.0%
Over 0.75 1.03 97.1%
Over 1.0 1.04 96.2%
Over 1.25 1.16 86.2%
Over 1.5 1.30 76.9% 1.28 78.1%
Over 1.75 1.36 73.5%
Over 2.5 1.95 51.3%
Over 2.75 1.90 52.6%
Over 3.5 3.40 29.4%
Over 4.5 6.50 15.4%
Under 0.5 8.50 11.8%
Under 1.5 3.35 29.9%
Under 2.5 1.83 54.6%
Under 2.75 1.99 50.3%
Under 3.5 1.30 76.9%
Under 4.5 1.10 90.9%
Match center
Sturm Graz
L L L D L
22.01 17:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
Sturm Graz 0:3 FeyenoordFeyenoord
11.12 17:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
Sturm Graz 0:1 FK Crvena Zvezda
27.11 20:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Sturm Graz 1:2 PanathinaikosPanathinaikos
06.11 17:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
Sturm Graz 0:0 Nottingem ForestNottingem Forest
23.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Sturm Graz 1:2 CelticCeltic
0 Wins
1 Draws
4 Losses
0.4 Scored
1.6 Conceded
1 Points
Brann
D L D D W
22.01 17:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
Brann 3:3 MidtyullannMidtyullann
11.12 20:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Brann 0:4 FenerbahçeFenerbahçe
27.11 17:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
Brann 1:1 PAOKPAOK
06.11 20:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Brann 0:0 BolognaBologna
23.10 16:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
Brann 3:0 RangersRangers
1 Wins
3 Draws
1 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.6 Conceded
6 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historySturm Graz - Brann

Sturm Graz
0 matches total
Brann
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history