UEFA Europa League
Sturm Graz - FK Crvena Zvezda
Sturm Graz take on FK Crvena Zvezda on December 11, 2025 in the UEFA Europa League, World.
Recent form (W-D-L): Sturm Graz 1-1-3, FK Crvena Zvezda 2-1-2. Sportsbooks lean towards FK Crvena Zvezda, an implied 46% to win. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Sturm Graz - FK Crvena Zvezda December 11, 2025
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like FK Crvena Zvezda.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.36 / X 3.72 / 2 2.03
- 1X2 market: Sturm Graz 28.2% / X 25.4% / FK Crvena Zvezda 46.4%
- Total 2.5: over probability 60.8%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Sturm Graz - FK Crvena Zvezda
What data is collected and where it is shown
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.50 28.6% | 2.65 37.7% | 3.54 28.3% | 3.25 30.8% | 3.50 28.6% | 3.50 28.6% | |
| X | 3.65 27.4% | 3.60 27.8% | 3.90 25.6% | 3.50 28.6% | 3.90 25.6% | 3.75 26.7% |
| 1.99 50.3% | 2.16 46.3% | 2.10 47.6% | 2.05 48.8% | 1.95 51.3% | 2.00 50.0% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.50 40.0% | 2.47 40.5% | 2.48 40.3% | 2.40 41.7% | 2.50 40.0% | 2.50 40.0% | 2.63 38.0% | 2.44 41.0% | 2.63 38.0% |
| yes | 1.48 67.6% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.49 67.1% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.50 66.7% | 1.50 66.7% | 1.44 69.4% | 1.49 67.1% | 1.52 65.8% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.30 76.9% | 1.35 74.1% | 1.33 75.2% | 1.28 78.1% | 1.32 75.8% | 1.34 74.6% |
| home_away | 1.22 82.0% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.29 77.5% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.26 79.4% | 1.29 77.5% |
| home_draw | 1.77 56.5% | 1.82 55.0% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.82 55.0% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.04 96.2% | — | 1.03 97.1% |
| Over 1.0 | — | — | 1.04 96.2% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.18 84.8% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 1.55 64.5% | — | — |
| Over 2.75 | — | 1.80 55.6% | — |
| Over 3.0 | — | 2.00 50.0% | — |
| Over 3.5 | 2.35 42.6% | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 4.20 23.8% | — | — |
| Over 5.5 | 7.50 13.3% | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 10.00 10.0% | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 4.75 21.1% | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 2.40 41.7% | — | — |
| Under 2.75 | — | 2.02 49.5% | — |
| Under 3.0 | — | 1.89 52.9% | — |
| Under 3.5 | 1.57 63.7% | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 1.22 82.0% | — | — |
| Under 5.5 | 1.08 92.6% | — | — |
Sturm Graz
Panathinaikos
Nottingem Forest
Celtic
Rangers
Midtyullann
FK Crvena Zvezda
FCSB
Lille
Braga
FC Porto
Celtic
Full head-to-head historySturm Graz - FK Crvena Zvezda
Match history
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- Match history & form