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UEFA Europa League
UEFA Europa League World
06.11.2025 17:45 UTC
Finished

UEFA Europa League

Sturm Graz - Nottingham Forest

World Football
Sturm Graz
Sturm Graz
0 : 0
Finished
Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest

Sturm Graz take on Nottingham Forest on November 6, 2025 in the UEFA Europa League, World.

Recent form (W-D-L): Sturm Graz 1-0-2, Nottingham Forest 1-1-1. Sportsbooks lean towards Nottingham Forest, an implied 60% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Sturm Graz - Nottingham Forest November 6, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Nottingham Forest.

Line favourite market consensus: Nottingham Forest. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 5.69 / X 4.14 / 2 1.57
  • 1X2 market: Sturm Graz 16.7% / X 22.9% / Nottingham Forest 60.4%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 53.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.4%
1 16.7%
X 22.9%
2 60.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.6%
Over 2.5 53.1%
Under 2.5 46.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 06.11.2025 17:45 UTC
Market 1 16.7% @ 5.69 / X 22.9% @ 4.14 / 2 60.4% @ 1.57
Match center

Sturm Graz - Nottingham Forest

Form 3/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.57 market consensus · line only
X 4.14 market consensus · line only
1 5.69 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.14 market consensus · line only
12 1.23 market consensus · line only
1X 2.42 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.16 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.03 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.58 market consensus · line only
2 +1 1.96 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.80 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.04 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.93 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.82 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
5.60 17.9% 4.40 22.7% 6.13 16.3% 5.50 18.2% 5.75 17.4% 6.00 16.7%
X 4.10 24.4% 3.95 25.3% 4.34 23.0% 4.00 25.0% 4.00 25.0% 4.35 23.0%
1.57 63.7% 1.66 60.2% 1.61 62.1% 1.53 65.4% 1.55 64.5% 1.60 62.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.90 52.6% 2.02 49.5% 1.90 52.6% 1.91 52.4% 2.00 50.0% 1.88 53.2% 1.91 52.4% 1.88 53.2% 1.95 51.3%
yes 1.80 55.6% 1.77 56.5% 1.82 55.0% 1.85 54.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.85 54.1% 1.83 54.6% 1.82 55.0% 1.90 52.6%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.12 89.3% 1.16 86.2% 1.14 87.7% 1.17 85.5% 1.16 86.2% 1.15 87.0%
home_away 1.20 83.3% 1.26 79.4% 1.22 82.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.25 80.0%
home_draw 2.38 42.0% 2.48 40.3% 2.40 41.7% 2.25 44.4% 2.45 40.8% 2.49 40.2%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.05 95.2% 1.00 100.0%
Over 0.75 1.00 100.0%
Over 1.0 1.01 99.0%
Over 1.25 1.11 90.1%
Over 1.5 1.25 80.0%
Over 2.5 1.80 55.6% 1.76 56.8%
Over 2.75 1.93 51.8%
Over 3.5 3.00 33.3%
Over 4.5 5.50 18.2%
Under 0.5 9.50 10.5%
Under 1.5 3.75 26.7%
Under 2.5 2.00 50.0% 2.06 48.5%
Under 2.75 1.89 52.9%
Under 3.5 1.38 72.5%
Under 4.5 1.14 87.7%
Match center
Sturm Graz
L W L
23.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Sturm Graz 1:2 CelticCeltic
02.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Sturm Graz 2:1 RangersRangers
24.09 16:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
Sturm Graz 0:2 MidtyullannMidtyullann
1 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.7 Conceded
3 Points
Nottingham Forest
W L D
23.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Nottingham Forest 2:0 FC PortoFC Porto
02.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Nottingham Forest 2:3 MidtyullannMidtyullann
24.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Nottingham Forest 2:2 Real BetisReal Betis
1 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.7 Conceded
4 Points