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UEFA Europa League
UEFA Europa League World
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
25.09.2025 19:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Europa League

Utrecht - Lyon

World Football
Utrecht
Utrecht
0 : 1
Finished
Lyon
Lyon

Utrecht take on Lyon on September 25, 2025 in the UEFA Europa League, World.

Recent form (W-D-L): Utrecht 2-1-0, Lyon 2-1-1. The bookmaker line makes Lyon the favourite at about 40%. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Utrecht - Lyon September 25, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lyon.

Line favourite market consensus: Lyon. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.92 / X 3.42 / 2 2.40
  • 1X2 market: Utrecht 32.6% / X 27.8% / Lyon 39.6%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 50.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.7% 7 books · best price +2.9%
1 32.7%
X 27.7%
2 39.5%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.6%
Over 2.5 49.5%
Under 2.5 50.5%

Odds source: consensus of 7 books (188Bet, 1xBet, Bet365, Marathonbet, Pinnacle, SStats Consensus). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 25.09.2025 19:00 UTC
Market 1 32.6% @ 2.92 / X 27.8% @ 3.42 / 2 39.6% @ 2.40
Match center

Utrecht - Lyon

Form 3/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.41 market consensus · line only
X 3.41 market consensus · line only
1 2.93 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.41 market consensus · line only
12 1.33 market consensus · line only
1X 1.58 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.42 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.16 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.42 market consensus · line only
2 +1 3.84 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.95 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.91 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.11 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.70 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
3.00 33.3%
X 3.35 29.9%
2.49 40.2%

Match Winner

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle SStats Consensus
2.74 36.5% 2.90 34.5% 2.88 34.7% 2.89 34.6% 3.00 33.3% 3.00 33.3%
X 3.60 27.8% 3.50 28.6% 3.40 29.4% 3.48 28.7% 3.35 29.9% 3.35 29.9%
2.28 43.9% 2.43 41.2% 2.38 42.0% 2.42 41.3% 2.49 40.2% 2.49 40.2%

Both teams to score

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle William Hill
no 2.22 45.1% 2.04 49.0% 2.20 45.5% 2.02 49.5% 2.13 47.0% 2.05 48.8%
yes 1.64 61.0% 1.71 58.5% 1.62 61.7% 1.71 58.5% 1.76 56.8% 1.73 57.8%

Double chance

Outcome 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle SStats Consensus William Hill
draw_away 1.42 70.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.43 69.9% 1.43 69.9% 1.43 69.9% 1.36 73.5%
home_away 1.31 76.3% 1.30 76.9% 1.32 75.8% 1.35 74.1% 1.35 74.1% 1.33 75.2%
home_draw 1.57 63.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.59 62.9% 1.58 63.3% 1.58 63.3% 1.60 62.5%
Match center
Utrecht
D W W
28.08 18:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Utrecht 0:0 ZrinjskiZrinjski
14.08 18:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Utrecht 2:1 Servette FCServette FC
31.07 18:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Utrecht 4:1 Sheriff TiraspolSheriff Tiraspol
2 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
0.7 Conceded
7 Points
Lyon
D L W W
17.04 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Lyon 2:2 Manchester UnitedManchester United
24.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Lyon 0:1 BeşiktaşBeşiktaş
03.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Lyon 4:1 RangersRangers
26.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Lyon 2:0 Olympiakos Piraeus
2 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyUtrecht - Lyon

Utrecht
0 matches total
Lyon
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history