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Uruguay: Segunda Standings
Uruguay: Segunda Standings
29.07.2026 16:00 UTC Match prediction
29.07.2026 16:00 UTC
Finished

Uruguay: Segunda Standings

Cerrito - Leones Rosario (r)

Football
Cerrito
Cerrito
3 : 1
Finished
Leones Rosario (r)
Leones Rosario (r)
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Cerrito — 59%

1 · Cerrito59.2%
X · draw19.8%
2 · Leones Rosario (r)21.0%

Model estimate: win Cerrito 59.2%, draw 19.8%, win Leones Rosario (r) 21.0%. Model favourite — Cerrito.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Cerrito - Leones Rosario (r) July 29, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

  • Glicko: Cerrito 59.2% / X 19.8% / Leones Rosario (r) 21.0%

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Match center
Start 29.07.2026 16:00 UTC
Match center

Cerrito - Leones Rosario (r)

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 1 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 3:1
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Cerrito 100.0% 59.2% market and model agree
Draw - 19.8% draw risk
Leones Rosario (r) - 21.0%
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 59.2% / 19.8% / 21.0% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,659 / 1,632 Cerrito / Leones Rosario (r)
RD 162 / 125 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,335-1,984 / 1,383-1,882 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
1 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 59.2%
Double chance
X2 9.00 Fonbet · no value · model 40.8%

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
x2 9.00 11.1%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 4.5 5.20 19.2%
Under 4.5 1.13 88.5%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
1.01 99.0%
Match center
Cerrito
D W D L W
18.07 15:00 UTC Uruguay: Segunda Standings
Cerrito 0:0 Rentistas
12.07 16:00 UTC Uruguay: Segunda Standings
Cerrito 1:0 MiramarMiramar
05.07 18:00 UTC Uruguay: Segunda Standings
Cerrito 0:0 TakuaremboTakuarembo
14.06 12:00 UTC Uruguay: Segunda Standings
Cerrito 4:6 River PleytRiver Pleyt
07.06 14:00 UTC Uruguay: Segunda Standings
Cerrito 2:1 Atenas
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.4 Conceded
8 Points
Leones Rosario (r)
W L W D W
26.07 13:00 UTC Uruguay: Segunda Standings
Leones Rosario (r) 1:0 Atenas
13.07 20:00 UTC Uruguay: Segunda Standings
Leones Rosario (r) 0:1 Paysandu FCPaysandu FC
05.07 15:00 UTC Uruguay: Segunda Standings
Leones Rosario (r) 2:0 Huracan FCHuracan FC
13.06 17:00 UTC Uruguay: Segunda Standings
Leones Rosario (r) 1:1 Colon
06.06 11:00 UTC Uruguay: Segunda Standings
Leones Rosario (r) 3:1 River PleytRiver Pleyt
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.4 Scored
0.6 Conceded
10 Points