Uruguay. Segunda Division
Plaza Colonia take on Miramar Misiones on August 1, 2026 in the Uruguay. Segunda Division.
Recent form (W-D-L): Plaza Colonia 2-0-3, Miramar Misiones 1-1-3. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 51% to win. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Plaza Colonia — 51%
Pure model vs market (1 · Plaza Colonia): model 45% · market 75% Δ −30 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Plaza Colonia 51.4%, draw 28.2%, win Miramar Misiones 20.5%. Model favourite — Plaza Colonia.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Plaza Colonia.
For reference
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 1.06 94.3% | 1.70 58.8% |
| yes | 6.90 14.5% | 2.03 49.3% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.28 78.1% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.04 96.2% |
| 1x | 1.14 87.7% | 1.16 86.2% | 1.02 98.0% |
| x2 | 1.88 53.2% | 1.95 51.3% | 10.50 9.5% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.43 41.2% | |
| X | 1.95 51.3% |
| 5.40 18.5% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 2.15 46.5% |
| Under 1 | 1.62 61.7% |
Plaza Colonia
Miramar Misiones
Full head-to-head historyPlaza Colonia - Miramar Misiones
The Plaza Colonia - Miramar Misiones breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
