USA. USL
Lexington take on Monterey Bay on August 1, 2026 in the USA. USL.
Recent form (W-D-L): Lexington 2-1-2, Monterey Bay 1-1-3. Sportsbooks lean towards Lexington, an implied 63% to win. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 61% to win — broadly in line with the market. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Lexington — 61%
Pure model vs market (1 · Lexington): model 38% · market 63% Δ −25 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Lexington 60.7%, draw 21.8%, win Monterey Bay 17.5%. Model favourite — Lexington.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lexington.
For reference
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.48 67.6% | 1.42 70.4% | 1.45 69.0% | 1.47 68.0% | 1.44 69.4% | 1.44 69.4% | |
| X | 4.10 24.4% | 4.25 23.5% | 4.00 25.0% | 4.20 23.8% | 4.20 23.8% | 4.20 23.8% |
| 5.60 17.9% | 6.27 16.0% | 5.50 18.2% | 5.60 17.9% | 5.50 18.2% | 6.50 15.4% |
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 4.50 22.2% | 1.91 52.4% |
| yes | 1.15 87.0% | 1.80 55.6% |
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 12 | 1.05 95.2% |
| 1x | 1.09 91.7% |
| x2 | 7.60 13.2% |
| Outcome | 10Bet |
|---|---|
| 0_0 | 12.00 8.3% |
| 0_1 | 13.00 7.7% |
| 0_2 | 26.00 3.9% |
| 0_3 | 67.00 1.5% |
| 1_0 | 6.25 16.0% |
| 1_1 | 7.00 14.3% |
| 1_2 | 15.00 6.7% |
| 1_3 | 41.00 2.4% |
| 1_4 | 126.00 0.8% |
| 2_0 | 6.25 16.0% |
| 2_1 | 6.50 15.4% |
| 2_2 | 13.00 7.7% |
| 2_3 | 41.00 2.4% |
| 2_4 | 101.00 1.0% |
| 3_0 | 9.00 11.1% |
| 3_1 | 9.50 10.5% |
| 3_2 | 19.00 5.3% |
| 3_3 | 51.00 2.0% |
Lexington
Full head-to-head historyLexington - Monterey Bay
The Lexington - Monterey Bay breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
