USA. USL
Oakland Roots - Pittsburgh Riverhounds
Oakland Roots face Pittsburgh Riverhounds on August 2, 2026 in the USA. USL.
Recent form (W-D-L): Oakland Roots 1-0-4, Pittsburgh Riverhounds 2-0-3. The market favourite is Oakland Roots at roughly 42%. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 42% to win — broadly in line with the market. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Oakland Roots — 42%
Pure model vs market (1 · Oakland Roots): model 33% · market 42% Δ −9 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Oakland Roots 41.5%, draw 28.3%, win Pittsburgh Riverhounds 30.2%. Model favourite — Oakland Roots.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Pittsburg: probability 51% vs 34% on the line (odds 2.90)
- • edge over the line +16 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 1:2.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Oakland Roots - Pittsburgh Riverhounds August 2, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Oakland Roots.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.17 / X 3.20 / 2 3.09
- 1X2 market: Oakland Roots 42.0% / X 28.5% / Pittsburgh Riverhounds 29.5%
- Glicko: Oakland Roots 41.5% / X 28.3% / Pittsburgh Riverhounds 30.2%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
USL ChampionshipHighest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Oakland Roots - Pittsburgh Riverhounds
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.15 46.5% | 2.18 45.9% | 2.10 47.6% | 2.18 45.9% | 2.10 47.6% | 2.20 45.5% | |
| X | 3.30 30.3% | 3.08 32.5% | 3.20 31.3% | 3.25 30.8% | 3.30 30.3% | 3.25 30.8% |
| 3.00 33.3% | 3.16 31.7% | 3.00 33.3% | 3.00 33.3% | 3.00 33.3% | 3.10 32.3% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 1.33 75.2% | 1.95 51.3% |
| yes | 2.90 34.5% | 1.76 56.8% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.27 78.7% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.11 90.1% |
| 1x | 1.28 78.1% | 1.30 76.9% | 6.70 14.9% |
| x2 | 1.55 64.5% | 1.60 62.5% | 1.02 98.0% |
Exact Score
| Outcome | 10Bet |
|---|---|
| 0_0 | 9.00 11.1% |
| 0_1 | 8.00 12.5% |
| 0_2 | 13.00 7.7% |
| 0_3 | 31.00 3.2% |
| 0_4 | 76.00 1.3% |
| 1_0 | 6.50 15.4% |
| 1_1 | 5.50 18.2% |
| 1_2 | 9.00 11.1% |
| 1_3 | 21.00 4.8% |
| 1_4 | 56.00 1.8% |
| 1_5 | 126.00 0.8% |
| 2_0 | 8.50 11.8% |
| 2_1 | 7.50 13.3% |
| 2_2 | 12.00 8.3% |
| 2_3 | 26.00 3.9% |
| 2_4 | 67.00 1.5% |
| 3_0 | 17.00 5.9% |
| 3_1 | 13.00 7.7% |
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
Full head-to-head historyOakland Roots - Pittsburgh Riverhounds
Match history
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