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USA. USL
USA. USL
02.08.2026 02:00 UTC
Finished

USA. USL

Oakland Roots - Pittsburgh Riverhounds

Football
O
Oakland Roots
0 : 1
Finished
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
Pittsburgh Riverhounds

Oakland Roots face Pittsburgh Riverhounds on August 2, 2026 in the USA. USL.

Recent form (W-D-L): Oakland Roots 1-0-4, Pittsburgh Riverhounds 2-0-3. The market favourite is Oakland Roots at roughly 42%. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 42% to win — broadly in line with the market. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Oakland Roots42%

Pure model vs market (1 · Oakland Roots): model 33% · market 42% Δ −9 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Oakland Roots41.5%
X · draw28.3%
2 · Pittsburgh Riverhounds30.2%

Model estimate: win Oakland Roots 41.5%, draw 28.3%, win Pittsburgh Riverhounds 30.2%. Model favourite — Oakland Roots.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Pittsburgh Riverhounds (odds2.90) Score 1:2 confidence 51% ✓ outcome correct
  • Model backs Pittsburg: probability 51% vs 34% on the line (odds 2.90)
  • edge over the line +16 pp — value pick
  • Expected score 1:2.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Oakland Roots - Pittsburgh Riverhounds August 2, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Oakland Roots.

Strongest: Oakland Roots - market and Glicko agree
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.17 / X 3.20 / 2 3.09
  • 1X2 market: Oakland Roots 42.0% / X 28.5% / Pittsburgh Riverhounds 29.5%
  • Glicko: Oakland Roots 41.5% / X 28.3% / Pittsburgh Riverhounds 30.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.7%
1 42.0%
X 28.5%
2 29.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

USL Championship
League table
Oakland Roots
#1721 ptsGP 175-6-625:27
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
#1123 ptsGP 177-2-819:20
Best price across 12 books
1 2.29 Pinnacle
X 3.30 10Bet
2 3.29 Pinnacle

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Oakland Roots
W-D-L 2-3-5 Scored 1.30 Conceded 1.80 xG 1.44 xGA 1.42
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
W-D-L 4-1-5 Scored 0.90 Conceded 0.81 xG 1.40 xGA 1.14

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Oakland Roots
Rating 1460 xG 1.24 Win 38%
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
Rating 1489 xG 1.18 Win 35%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Oakland Roots 1 : 3 Pittsburgh Riverhounds
12.18
X3.08
23.16

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 02.08.2026 02:00 UTC
Market 1 42.0% @ 2.17 / X 28.5% @ 3.20 / 2 29.5% @ 3.09
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Oakland Roots 42%
💹 Market Oakland Roots 4196%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Oakland Roots - Pittsburgh Riverhounds

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 0:1
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Oakland Roots 42.0% 41.5% market and model agree
Draw 28.6% 28.3% draw risk
Pittsburgh Riverhounds 29.4% 30.2%
xG - 1.24 : 1.18
1X2: 15 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 41.5% / 28.3% / 30.2% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,258 / 1,476 Oakland Roots / Pittsburgh Riverhounds
RD 166 / 156 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 925-1,591 / 1,165-1,788 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.06 Fonbet · no value · model 30.2%
X 5.50 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 2.18 market consensus · no value · model 41.5%
Double chance
12 1.11 Fonbet · no value · model 71.7%
1X 6.70 Fonbet · weak value +367.9% · model 69.8%
X2 1.02 Fonbet · no value · model 58.5%
Handicap
2 0 1.02 Fonbet · line only
1 0 10.00 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.99 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.33 Fonbet · line only
Yes 2.90 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
2.15 46.5% 2.18 45.9% 2.10 47.6% 2.18 45.9% 2.10 47.6% 2.20 45.5%
X 3.30 30.3% 3.08 32.5% 3.20 31.3% 3.25 30.8% 3.30 30.3% 3.25 30.8%
3.00 33.3% 3.16 31.7% 3.00 33.3% 3.00 33.3% 3.00 33.3% 3.10 32.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.33 75.2% 1.95 51.3%
yes 2.90 34.5% 1.76 56.8%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.27 78.7% 1.30 76.9% 1.11 90.1%
1x 1.28 78.1% 1.30 76.9% 6.70 14.9%
x2 1.55 64.5% 1.60 62.5% 1.02 98.0%

Exact Score

Outcome 10Bet
0_0 9.00 11.1%
0_1 8.00 12.5%
0_2 13.00 7.7%
0_3 31.00 3.2%
0_4 76.00 1.3%
1_0 6.50 15.4%
1_1 5.50 18.2%
1_2 9.00 11.1%
1_3 21.00 4.8%
1_4 56.00 1.8%
1_5 126.00 0.8%
2_0 8.50 11.8%
2_1 7.50 13.3%
2_2 12.00 8.3%
2_3 26.00 3.9%
2_4 67.00 1.5%
3_0 17.00 5.9%
3_1 13.00 7.7%
Match center
Oakland Roots
L L L L W
2026-07-26 USL Championship 2026, Western Conference
Oakland Roots Oakland Roots 1:3 Sacramento Republic
2026-07-22 USL Championship 2026, Western Conference
Oakland Roots Lexington 2:0 Oakland Roots
2026-07-11 USL Cup 2026, Group 1
Oakland Roots Oakland Roots 1:3 Spokane Velocity
2026-07-05 USL Championship 2026, Western Conference
Oakland Roots New Mexico United 2:1 Oakland Roots
2026-06-21 USL Championship 2026, Western Conference
Oakland Roots Phoenix Rising 3:4 Oakland Roots
1 Wins
0 Draws
4 Losses
1.4 Scored
2.6 Conceded
3 Points
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
L L W L W
2026-07-29 USL Championship 2026, Eastern Conference
Pittsburgh Riverhounds 0:1 Tulsa Pittsburgh Riverhounds
2026-07-25 USL Championship 2026, Eastern Conference
Pittsburgh Riverhounds 0:1 Rhode Island Pittsburgh Riverhounds
2026-07-18 USL Championship 2026, Eastern Conference
Pittsburgh Riverhounds 3:1 Louisville City Pittsburgh Riverhounds
2026-07-15 USL Championship 2026, Eastern Conference
Sporting Jax 2:1 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds
2026-07-11 USL Cup 2026, Group 6
Pittsburgh Riverhounds 2:0 Loudoun United Pittsburgh Riverhounds
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.0 Conceded
6 Points