USA. USL
Tulsa face Sacramento Republic on August 2, 2026 in the USA. USL.
Recent form (W-D-L): Tulsa 2-1-1, Sacramento Republic 3-1-0. The bookmaker line makes Tulsa the favourite at about 37%. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 38% to win — broadly in line with the market. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Tulsa — 38%
Pure model vs market (1 · Tulsa): model 39% · market 37% Δ +2 pp model estimate matches the market
Model estimate: win Tulsa 37.5%, draw 28.2%, win Sacramento Republic 34.3%. Model favourite — Tulsa.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Tulsa.
For reference
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Form and head-to-head • USL Championship
Form, head-to-head and league position: 365scores. For reference.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Dafabet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.45 40.8% | 2.47 40.5% | 2.50 40.0% | 2.47 40.5% | 2.45 40.8% | 2.55 39.2% | |
| X | 3.20 31.3% | 3.10 32.3% | 3.20 31.3% | 3.15 31.8% | 3.00 33.3% | 3.25 30.8% |
| 2.62 38.2% | 2.61 38.3% | 2.60 38.5% | 2.62 38.2% | 2.63 38.0% | 2.70 37.0% |
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 1.75 57.1% | 1.86 53.8% |
| yes | 1.95 51.3% | 1.85 54.1% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.26 79.4% | 1.29 77.5% | 1.30 76.9% |
| 1x | 1.38 72.5% | 1.42 70.4% | 1.45 69.0% |
| x2 | 1.43 69.9% | 1.47 68.0% | 1.45 69.0% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 3.16 31.7% | |
| X | 2.00 50.0% |
| 3.40 29.4% |
Tulsa
Pittsburg
Lexington
El-Paso Lokomotiv
Sacramento Republic
Rod Aylend
Full head-to-head historyTulsa - Sacramento Republic
The Tulsa - Sacramento Republic breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
