USA. USL. League 1
Charlotte Independence go head-to-head with One Knoxville on August 1, 2026 in the USA. USL. League 1.
Recent form (W-D-L): Charlotte Independence 1-2-2, One Knoxville 2-1-2. The market favourite is Charlotte Independence at roughly 38%. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 38% to win — broadly in line with the market. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Charlotte Independence — 38%
Pure model vs market (1 · Charlotte Independence): model 44% · market 38% Δ +6 pp model estimates above the market
Model estimate: win Charlotte Independence 38.5%, draw 27.7%, win One Knoxville 33.9%. Model favourite — Charlotte Independence.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Charlotte Independence.
For reference
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
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Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.38 42.0% | 2.40 41.7% | 2.50 40.0% | 2.42 41.3% | 2.38 42.0% | 2.15 46.5% | |
| X | 3.35 29.9% | 3.00 33.3% | 3.20 31.3% | 3.35 29.9% | 3.30 30.3% | 3.13 32.0% |
| 2.62 38.2% | 2.85 35.1% | 2.50 40.0% | 2.62 38.2% | 2.60 38.5% | 2.40 41.7% |
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 1.30 76.9% | 2.45 40.8% |
| yes | 3.10 32.3% | 1.49 67.1% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.30 76.9% | 1.34 74.6% | 1.01 99.0% |
| 1x | 1.34 74.6% | 1.38 72.5% | 1.06 94.3% |
| x2 | 1.44 69.4% | 1.49 67.1% | 11.50 8.7% |
| Outcome | 10Bet |
|---|---|
| 0_0 | 10.00 10.0% |
| 0_1 | 9.50 10.5% |
| 0_2 | 13.00 7.7% |
| 0_3 | 26.00 3.9% |
| 0_4 | 56.00 1.8% |
| 0_5 | 126.00 0.8% |
| 1_0 | 9.00 11.1% |
| 1_1 | 6.25 16.0% |
| 1_2 | 8.00 12.5% |
| 1_3 | 15.00 6.7% |
| 1_4 | 41.00 2.4% |
| 1_5 | 91.00 1.1% |
| 2_0 | 12.00 8.3% |
| 2_1 | 7.50 13.3% |
| 2_2 | 10.00 10.0% |
| 2_3 | 19.00 5.3% |
| 2_4 | 41.00 2.4% |
| 2_5 | 101.00 1.0% |
Charlotte Independence
One Knoxville
Full head-to-head historyCharlotte Independence - One Knoxville
The Charlotte Independence - One Knoxville breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
