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USA. USL. League 1
USA. USL. League 1
01.08.2026 23:30 UTC
Finished

USA. USL. League 1

Fort Wayne - Union Omaha

Football
Fort Wayne
Fort Wayne
0 : 1
Finished
U
Union Omaha

Fort Wayne go head-to-head with Union Omaha on August 1, 2026 in the USA. USL. League 1.

Recent form (W-D-L): Fort Wayne 2-0-3, Union Omaha 2-1-2. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. The market favourite is Union Omaha at roughly 39%. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 35% to win — broadly in line with the market. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Union Omaha39%

Pure model vs market (2 · Union Omaha): model 42% · market 39% Δ +3 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Fort Wayne35.3%
X · draw25.4%
2 · Union Omaha39.4%

Model estimate: win Fort Wayne 35.3%, draw 25.4%, win Union Omaha 39.4%. Model favourite — Union Omaha.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Union Omaha (odds1.74) Score 1:2 confidence 58% ✓ outcome correct
  • Model backs Yunion Omakha: probability 58% vs 57% on the line (odds 1.74)
  • legkiy pereves +0 pp nad liniey
  • Expected score 1:2.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Fort Wayne - Union Omaha August 1, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Union Omaha.

Strongest: Union Omaha - market and Glicko agree
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.56 / X 3.50 / 2 2.30
  • 1X2 market: Fort Wayne 35.2% / X 25.7% / Union Omaha 39.1%
  • Glicko: Fort Wayne 35.3% / X 25.4% / Union Omaha 39.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 11.1%
1 35.2%
X 25.7%
2 39.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

USL League One
League table
Fort Wayne
#927 ptsGP 177-6-425:17
Union Omaha
#135 ptsGP 1811-2-529:21
Best price across 12 books
1 2.65 Superbet
X 3.75 Pinnacle
2 2.40 Unibet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Fort Wayne
W-D-L 4-4-2 Scored 1.60 Conceded 0.90 xG 1.28 xGA 1.48
Union Omaha
W-D-L 6-1-3 Scored 1.50 Conceded 1.20 xG 1.73 xGA 1.27

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Fort Wayne
Rating 1560 xG 1.25 Win 32%
Union Omaha
Rating 1598 xG 1.47 Win 42%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Fort Wayne 2 : 2 Union Omaha
12.56
X3.55
22.28

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 01.08.2026 23:30 UTC
Market 1 35.2% @ 2.56 / X 25.7% @ 3.50 / 2 39.1% @ 2.30
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Union Omaha 39%
💹 Market Union Omaha 3912%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Fort Wayne - Union Omaha

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Line
More needed
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

5/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 0:1
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Fort Wayne 35.2% 35.3%
Draw 25.6% 25.4% draw risk
Union Omaha 39.2% 39.4% market and model agree
xG - 1.25 : 1.47
1X2: 15 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 35.3% / 25.4% / 39.4% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,474 / 1,644 Fort Wayne / Union Omaha
RD 153 / 152 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,168-1,780 / 1,341-1,947 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 39.4%
X 4.15 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 2.56 market consensus · no value · model 35.3%
Double chance
12 1.19 Fonbet · no value · model 74.6%
1X 1.52 market consensus · no value · model 60.6%
X2 1.04 Fonbet · no value · model 64.7%
Handicap
2 0 1.05 Fonbet · line only
1 0 7.20 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 10.00 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.02 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.40 Fonbet · line only
Yes 2.75 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
2.55 39.2% 2.56 39.1% 2.60 38.5% 2.60 38.5% 2.60 38.5% 2.38 42.0%
X 3.60 27.8% 3.55 28.2% 3.30 30.3% 3.55 28.2% 3.60 27.8% 3.20 31.3%
2.30 43.5% 2.27 44.1% 2.35 42.6% 2.35 42.6% 2.20 45.5% 2.15 46.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.40 71.4% 2.50 40.0%
yes 2.75 36.4% 1.47 68.0%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.20 83.3% 1.23 81.3% 1.19 84.0%
1x 1.49 67.1% 1.55 64.5% 11.50 8.7%
x2 1.40 71.4% 1.45 69.0% 1.04 96.2%

Exact Score

Outcome 10Bet
0_0 15.00 6.7%
0_1 9.50 10.5%
0_2 12.00 8.3%
0_3 21.00 4.8%
0_4 46.00 2.2%
0_5 91.00 1.1%
1_0 10.00 10.0%
1_1 6.50 15.4%
1_2 8.00 12.5%
1_3 13.00 7.7%
1_4 29.00 3.5%
1_5 71.00 1.4%
2_0 13.00 7.7%
2_1 8.00 12.5%
2_2 10.00 10.0%
2_3 17.00 5.9%
2_4 34.00 2.9%
2_5 81.00 1.2%
Match center
Fort Wayne
L W L L W
2026-07-26 USL League One 2026
Fort Wayne Spokane Velocity 3:1 Fort Wayne
2026-07-18 USL League One 2026
Fort Wayne Fort Wayne 3:0 Greenville Triumph SC
2026-07-15 USL League One 2026
Fort Wayne One Knoxville 2:1 Fort Wayne
2026-07-11 USL Cup 2026, Group 4
Fort Wayne Fort Wayne 1:2 Detroit City
2026-07-04 USL League One 2026
Fort Wayne Fort Wayne 3:0 Spokane Velocity
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.8 Scored
1.4 Conceded
6 Points
Union Omaha
W D L W L
2026-07-22 USL League One 2026
Portland Hearts 1:2 Union Omaha Union Omaha
2026-07-18 USL League One 2026
Union Omaha 2:2 Westchester Union Omaha
2026-07-12 USL Cup 2026, Group 4
Forward Madison 4:3 Union Omaha Union Omaha
2026-07-02 USL League One 2026
Union Omaha 3:1 AV Alta Union Omaha
2026-06-21 USL League One 2026
Athletic Boise 1:0 Union Omaha Union Omaha
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.8 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyFort Wayne - Union Omaha

Fort Wayne
1 matches total
Union Omaha
Fort Wayne: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Union Omaha: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Union Omaha 4:2 (2026-06-07) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 6 goals (4:2, 2026-06-07) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 4
4 Goals conceded 2

Match history

2026-06-07 USL Cup 2026, Group 4
Union Omaha 4:2 Fort Wayne