USA. MLS Next Pro
Chicago Fire 2 - Cincinnati 2
Chicago Fire 2 go head-to-head with Cincinnati 2 on August 2, 2026 in the USA. MLS Next Pro.
Recent form (W-D-L): Chicago Fire 2 2-2-1, Cincinnati 2 1-2-2. Sportsbooks lean towards Chicago Fire 2, an implied 57% to win. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 58% to win — broadly in line with the market. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Chicago Fire 2 — 58%
Pure model vs market (1 · Chicago Fire 2): model 60% · market 57% Δ +3 pp model estimates above the market
Model estimate: win Chicago Fire 2 58.4%, draw 21.7%, win Cincinnati 2 19.8%. Model favourite — Chicago Fire 2.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Chikago Fayr II: probability 50% vs 54% on the line (odds 1.85)
- • no edge over the line (-4 pp) — informational only
- • Expected score 2:1.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Chicago Fire 2 - Cincinnati 2 August 2, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Chicago Fire 2.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.58 / X 4.05 / 2 4.48
- 1X2 market: Chicago Fire 2 57.4% / X 22.4% / Cincinnati 2 20.3%
- Glicko: Chicago Fire 2 58.4% / X 21.7% / Cincinnati 2 19.8%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
MLS Next ProHighest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Chicago Fire 2 - Cincinnati 2
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor | Dafabet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.55 64.5% | 1.60 62.5% | 1.60 62.5% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.55 64.5% | 1.62 61.7% | |
| X | 4.00 25.0% | 4.20 23.8% | 3.90 25.6% | 4.20 23.8% | 4.20 23.8% | 4.20 23.8% |
| 4.40 22.7% | 4.00 25.0% | 4.35 23.0% | 4.75 21.1% | 4.75 21.1% | 4.70 21.3% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 9.00 11.1% | 2.22 45.1% |
| yes | 1.03 97.1% | 1.59 62.9% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.16 86.2% | 1.19 84.0% | 1.04 96.2% |
| 1x | 1.10 90.9% | 1.12 89.3% | 1.02 98.0% |
| x2 | 2.30 43.5% | 2.44 41.0% | 11.00 9.1% |
Exact Score
| Outcome | 10Bet |
|---|---|
| 0_0 | 17.00 5.9% |
| 0_1 | 15.00 6.7% |
| 0_2 | 23.00 4.4% |
| 0_3 | 51.00 2.0% |
| 0_4 | 126.00 0.8% |
| 1_0 | 8.50 11.8% |
| 1_1 | 7.50 13.3% |
| 1_2 | 12.00 8.3% |
| 1_3 | 29.00 3.5% |
| 1_4 | 67.00 1.5% |
| 2_0 | 8.00 12.5% |
| 2_1 | 7.00 14.3% |
| 2_2 | 11.00 9.1% |
| 2_3 | 26.00 3.9% |
| 2_4 | 67.00 1.5% |
| 3_0 | 11.00 9.1% |
| 3_1 | 9.00 11.1% |
| 3_2 | 15.00 6.7% |
Full head-to-head historyChicago Fire 2 - Cincinnati 2
Match history
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- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form