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USA. MLS Next Pro
USA. MLS Next Pro
02.08.2026 20:00 UTC
Finished

USA. MLS Next Pro

Chicago Fire 2 - Cincinnati 2

Football
C
Chicago Fire 2
5 : 2
Finished
C
Cincinnati 2

Chicago Fire 2 go head-to-head with Cincinnati 2 on August 2, 2026 in the USA. MLS Next Pro.

Recent form (W-D-L): Chicago Fire 2 2-2-1, Cincinnati 2 1-2-2. Sportsbooks lean towards Chicago Fire 2, an implied 57% to win. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 58% to win — broadly in line with the market. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Chicago Fire 258%

Pure model vs market (1 · Chicago Fire 2): model 60% · market 57% Δ +3 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Chicago Fire 2 ✓ Pick58.4%
market57%
X · draw21.7%
market22%
2 · Cincinnati 219.8%
market20%

Model estimate: win Chicago Fire 2 58.4%, draw 21.7%, win Cincinnati 2 19.8%. Model favourite — Chicago Fire 2.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Chicago Fire 2 (odds1.85) Score 2:1 confidence 50% ✓ outcome correct
  • Model backs Chikago Fayr II: probability 50% vs 54% on the line (odds 1.85)
  • no edge over the line (-4 pp) — informational only
  • Expected score 2:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Chicago Fire 2 - Cincinnati 2 August 2, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Chicago Fire 2.

Strongest: Chicago Fire 2 - market and Glicko agree
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.58 / X 4.05 / 2 4.48
  • 1X2 market: Chicago Fire 2 57.4% / X 22.4% / Cincinnati 2 20.3%
  • Glicko: Chicago Fire 2 58.4% / X 21.7% / Cincinnati 2 19.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 10.3%
1 ✓ Pick 57.4%
X 22.4%
2 20.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

MLS Next Pro
League table
Chicago Fire 2
#1727 ptsGP 197-6-634:28
Cincinnati 2
#2814 ptsGP 194-2-1319:36
Best price across 10 books
1 1.65 Unibet
X 4.20 Bet365
2 4.75 Betfair

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Chicago Fire 2
W-D-L 5-2-3 Scored 2.41 Conceded 1.50 xG 1.58 xGA 1.84
Cincinnati 2
W-D-L 1-2-7 Scored 0.80 Conceded 2.00 xG 1.43 xGA 1.61

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Chicago Fire 2
Rating 1535 xG 1.80 Win 53%
Cincinnati 2
Rating 1382 xG 1.15 Win 24%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Chicago Fire 2 4 : 1 Cincinnati 2
11.42
X4.35
25.97

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 02.08.2026 20:00 UTC
Market 1 57.4% @ 1.58 / X 22.4% @ 4.05 / 2 20.2% @ 4.48
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Chicago Fire 2 58%
💹 Market Chicago Fire 2 5738%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Chicago Fire 2 - Cincinnati 2

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 5:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Chicago Fire 2 58.4% 58.4% market and model agree
Draw 21.9% 21.7% draw risk
Cincinnati 2 19.8% 19.8%
xG - 1.80 : 1.15
1X2: 14 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 58.4% / 21.7% / 19.8% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,535 / 1,207 Chicago Fire 2 / Cincinnati 2
RD 181 / 178 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,174-1,896 / 852-1,563 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.58 market consensus · no value · model 19.8%
X 9.50 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 58.4%
Double chance
12 1.04 Fonbet · no value · model 78.3%
1X 1.02 Fonbet · no value · model 80.2%
X2 2.37 market consensus · no value · model 41.6%
Handicap
2 +1 1.93 market consensus · line only
2 0 10.00 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 1.77 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.02 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.08 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 6.00 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 9.00 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.03 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Dafabet
1.55 64.5% 1.60 62.5% 1.60 62.5% 1.53 65.4% 1.55 64.5% 1.62 61.7%
X 4.00 25.0% 4.20 23.8% 3.90 25.6% 4.20 23.8% 4.20 23.8% 4.20 23.8%
4.40 22.7% 4.00 25.0% 4.35 23.0% 4.75 21.1% 4.75 21.1% 4.70 21.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 9.00 11.1% 2.22 45.1%
yes 1.03 97.1% 1.59 62.9%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.16 86.2% 1.19 84.0% 1.04 96.2%
1x 1.10 90.9% 1.12 89.3% 1.02 98.0%
x2 2.30 43.5% 2.44 41.0% 11.00 9.1%

Exact Score

Outcome 10Bet
0_0 17.00 5.9%
0_1 15.00 6.7%
0_2 23.00 4.4%
0_3 51.00 2.0%
0_4 126.00 0.8%
1_0 8.50 11.8%
1_1 7.50 13.3%
1_2 12.00 8.3%
1_3 29.00 3.5%
1_4 67.00 1.5%
2_0 8.00 12.5%
2_1 7.00 14.3%
2_2 11.00 9.1%
2_3 26.00 3.9%
2_4 67.00 1.5%
3_0 11.00 9.1%
3_1 9.00 11.1%
3_2 15.00 6.7%
Match center
Chicago Fire 2
W L W D D
2026-07-25 MLS Next Pro 2026
Chicago Fire 2 Carolina Core 1:5 Chicago Fire 2
2026-07-18 MLS Next Pro 2026
Chicago Fire 2 Crown Legacy 3:2 Chicago Fire 2
2026-07-12 MLS Next Pro 2026
Chicago Fire 2 Chicago Fire 2 3:0 New York Red Bulls 2
2026-07-06 MLS Next Pro 2026
Chicago Fire 2 Huntsville City FC 2:2 Chicago Fire 2
2026-06-27 MLS Next Pro 2026
Chicago Fire 2 Chattanooga 2:2 Chicago Fire 2
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
2.8 Scored
1.6 Conceded
8 Points
Cincinnati 2
D L L D W
2026-07-26 MLS Next Pro 2026
Cincinnati 2 2:2 New England Revolution 2 Cincinnati 2
2026-07-17 MLS Next Pro 2026
FC Toronto 2 3:1 Cincinnati 2 Cincinnati 2
2026-07-12 MLS Next Pro 2026
Cincinnati 2 1:2 Orlando City 2 Cincinnati 2
2026-07-05 MLS Next Pro 2026
Cincinnati 2 2:2 New York Red Bulls 2 Cincinnati 2
2026-06-28 MLS Next Pro 2026
Cincinnati 2 1:0 Inter Miami 2 Cincinnati 2
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.8 Conceded
5 Points