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USA. MLS Next Pro
USA. MLS Next Pro
01.08.2026 23:00 UTC
Finished

USA. MLS Next Pro

Connecticut United - Orlando City 2

Football
Connecticut United
Connecticut United
1 : 1
Finished
O
Orlando City 2

Connecticut United meet Orlando City 2 on August 1, 2026 in the USA. MLS Next Pro.

Recent form (W-D-L): Connecticut United 4-0-1, Orlando City 2 1-3-1. The market favourite is Connecticut United at roughly 59%. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 59% to win — broadly in line with the market. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Connecticut United59%

Pure model vs market (1 · Connecticut United): model 53% · market 60% Δ −7 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Connecticut United ✓ Pick59.1%
market60%
X · draw21.0%
market21%
2 · Orlando City 219.9%
market19%

Model estimate: win Connecticut United 59.1%, draw 21.0%, win Orlando City 2 19.9%. Model favourite — Connecticut United.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Connecticut United (odds1.67) Score 2:1 confidence 60% ✗ outcome missed
  • Model backs Connecticut FC: probability 60% vs 60% on the line (odds 1.67)
  • no edge over the line (-0 pp) — informational only
  • Expected score 2:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Connecticut United - Orlando City 2 August 1, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Connecticut United.

Strongest: Connecticut United - market and Glicko agree
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.52 / X 4.29 / 2 4.67
  • 1X2 market: Connecticut United 59.5% / X 21.1% / Orlando City 2 19.4%
  • Glicko: Connecticut United 59.1% / X 21.0% / Orlando City 2 19.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 10.5%
1 ✓ Pick 59.5%
X 21.1%
2 19.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

MLS Next Pro
League table
Connecticut United
#1329 ptsGP 199-2-835:33
Orlando City 2
#1131 ptsGP 208-7-540:34
Best price across 10 books
1 1.56 Dafabet
X 4.60 Dafabet
2 5.10 Unibet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Connecticut United
W-D-L 7-1-2 Scored 2.50 Conceded 1.60 xG 2.07 xGA 1.31
Orlando City 2
W-D-L 5-3-2 Scored 2.09 Conceded 1.40 xG 1.70 xGA 1.68

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Connecticut United
Rating 1532 xG 1.89 Win 55%
Orlando City 2
Rating 1528 xG 1.13 Win 22%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Connecticut United 2 : 2 Orlando City 2
11.50
X4.30
24.96

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 01.08.2026 23:00 UTC
Market 1 59.5% @ 1.52 / X 21.1% @ 4.29 / 2 19.4% @ 4.67
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Connecticut United 59%
💹 Market Connecticut United 5946%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Connecticut United - Orlando City 2

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 1:1
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 59.1% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.014 / LogLoss 1.562
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 59.1% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.014 / LogLoss 1.562
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Connecticut United 59.5% 59.1% market and model agree
Draw 21.0% 21.0% draw risk
Orlando City 2 19.5% 19.9%
xG - 1.89 : 1.13
1X2: 11 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 59.1% / 21.0% / 19.9% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,797 / 1,636 Connecticut FC / Orlando City 2
RD 195 / 189 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,406-2,188 / 1,257-2,014 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.67 market consensus · no value · model 19.9%
X 4.29 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.04 Fonbet · no value · model 59.1%
Double chance
12 1.02 Fonbet · no value · model 79.0%
1X 1.06 Fonbet · no value · model 80.1%
X2 6.90 Fonbet · no value · model 40.9%
Handicap
2 -1 2.35 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 7.50 Fonbet · line only
2 0 6.60 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 1.52 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.06 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 6.60 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 4.00 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.19 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet Bet365 Betano BetVictor Dafabet Marathonbet
1.53 65.4% 1.55 64.5% 1.55 64.5% 1.50 66.7% 1.56 64.1% 1.49 67.1%
X 4.10 24.4% 4.10 24.4% 4.15 24.1% 4.50 22.2% 4.60 21.7% 4.30 23.3%
4.60 21.7% 4.50 22.2% 4.45 22.5% 4.80 20.8% 4.80 20.8% 4.80 20.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 4.00 25.0% 2.63 38.0%
yes 1.19 84.0% 1.43 69.9%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 1.02 98.0%
1x 1.06 94.3%
x2 6.90 14.5%

Exact Score

Outcome 10Bet
0_0 17.00 5.9%
0_1 19.00 5.3%
0_2 29.00 3.5%
0_3 56.00 1.8%
0_4 126.00 0.8%
1_0 10.00 10.0%
1_1 8.50 11.8%
1_2 13.00 7.7%
1_3 29.00 3.5%
1_4 67.00 1.5%
2_0 9.00 11.1%
2_1 7.00 14.3%
2_2 10.00 10.0%
2_3 23.00 4.4%
2_4 56.00 1.8%
3_0 12.00 8.3%
3_1 9.00 11.1%
3_2 13.00 7.7%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 5-1-1, avg 2.71 gls
2026-07-31 · Nyu-York Siti 1:1 Toronto
2025-07-03 · Nyu-York Siti 3:1 Toronto
2025-04-26 · Nyu-York Siti 1:0 Toronto
2024-05-11 · Nyu-York Siti 3:2 Toronto
2024-03-16 · Nyu-York Siti 2:1 Toronto
Source: ruscore

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 1.68 (Winline) · X 4 (Winline) · 2 4.9 (Pari)
Bookmaker1X2
Pari 1.65 3.95 4.9
Winline 1.68 4 4.9
Fonbet 1.65 3.95 4.9
Betcity 1.67 4 4.7
Source: ruscore · line comparison

Match stats

52 Ball possession 48
14 Vsego udarov 10
5 Shots on target 5
5 Shots off target 4
12 Udary ot vorot 8
4 Blokirovannye udary 1
11 Shtrafnye 11
3 Corners 2
2 Offsides 2
19 Auty 26
4 Saves 4
11 Fouls 11
2 Cards total 4
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
0 Second yellows 0
1 Travmy 1
5 Substitutions 4
Source: ruscore
Connecticut United
W W W W L
2026-07-26 MLS Next Pro 2026
Connecticut United Connecticut United 2:1 Columbus Crew 2
2026-07-19 MLS Next Pro 2026
Connecticut United Connecticut United 2:1 New York Red Bulls 2
2026-07-12 MLS Next Pro 2026
Connecticut United Connecticut United 3:2 FC Toronto 2
2026-07-05 MLS Next Pro 2026
Connecticut United Connecticut United 3:1 Carolina Core
2026-06-26 MLS Next Pro 2026
Connecticut United Connecticut United 1:4 New York City 2
4 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.2 Scored
1.8 Conceded
12 Points
Orlando City 2
L D W D D
2026-07-26 MLS Next Pro 2026
Orlando City 2 0:1 Huntsville City FC Orlando City 2
2026-07-18 MLS Next Pro 2026
Chattanooga 1:1 Orlando City 2 Orlando City 2
2026-07-12 MLS Next Pro 2026
Cincinnati 2 1:2 Orlando City 2 Orlando City 2
2026-07-05 MLS Next Pro 2026
Crown Legacy 1:1 Orlando City 2 Orlando City 2
2026-06-28 MLS Next Pro 2026
Orlando City 2 2:2 Columbus Crew 2 Orlando City 2
1 Wins
3 Draws
1 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.2 Conceded
6 Points