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USA. MLS Next Pro
USA. MLS Next Pro
01.08.2026 23:00 UTC
Finished

USA. MLS Next Pro

Connecticut FC - Orlando City II

Football
Connecticut FC
Connecticut FC
1 : 1
Finished
O
Orlando City II

Connecticut FC face Orlando City II on August 1, 2026 in the USA. MLS Next Pro.

Recent form (W-D-L): Connecticut FC 4-0-0, Orlando City II 1-1-2. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 60% to win. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Connecticut FC60%

1 · Connecticut FC ✓ Pick59.7%
market59%
X · draw18.2%
market21%
2 · Orlando City II22.1%
market19%

Model estimate: win Connecticut FC 59.7%, draw 18.2%, win Orlando City II 22.1%. Model favourite — Connecticut FC.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Connecticut FC (odds1.67) Score 2:1 confidence 60% ✗ outcome missed
  • Model backs Connecticut FC: probability 60% vs 60% on the line (odds 1.67)
  • no edge over the line (-0 pp) — informational only
  • Expected score 2:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Connecticut FC - Orlando City II August 1, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Connecticut FC.

Line favourite market consensus: Connecticut FC. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.53 / X 4.30 / 2 4.70
  • Glicko: Connecticut FC 59.7% / X 18.2% / Orlando City II 22.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.9%
1 ✓ Pick 59.5%
X 21.2%
2 19.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

MLS Next Pro
League table
Connecticut FC
#1329 ptsGP 199-2-835:33
Orlando City II
#1131 ptsGP 208-7-540:34
Best price across 9 books
1 1.56 Dafabet
X 4.60 Dafabet
2 5.10 Unibet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Connecticut FC
W-D-L 7-1-2 Scored 2.50 Conceded 1.60 xG 2.07 xGA 1.31
Orlando City II
W-D-L 5-3-2 Scored 2.09 Conceded 1.40 xG 1.70 xGA 1.68

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Connecticut FC
Rating 1532 xG 1.88 Win 55%
Orlando City II
Rating 1528 xG 1.12 Win 22%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center
Start 01.08.2026 23:00 UTC
Market 1 59.5% @ 1.53 / X 21.2% @ 4.30 / 2 19.4% @ 4.70
Match center

Connecticut FC - Orlando City II

Form 4/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 1:1
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 59.7% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.075 / LogLoss 1.704
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 59.7% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.075 / LogLoss 1.704
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Connecticut FC 59.4% 59.7% market and model agree
Draw 21.1% 18.2% draw risk
Orlando City II 19.5% 22.1%
xG - 1.88 : 1.12
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 59.7% / 18.2% / 22.1% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,797 / 1,636 Connecticut FC / Orlando Siti (B)
RD 195 / 189 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,406-2,188 / 1,257-2,014 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.70 market consensus · no value · model 22.1%
X 4.30 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.53 market consensus · no value · model 59.7%
Handicap
2 +1 1.90 market consensus · line only
1 -1 1.80 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.63 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.43 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 2.63 38.0%
yes 1.43 69.9%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
1.96 51.0%
X 2.59 38.6%
4.67 21.4%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1.5 1.94 51.6%
Under 1.5 1.77 56.5%

Handicap

Outcome Leon
1.80 55.6%
1.90 52.6%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 5-1-1, avg 2.71 gls
2026-07-31 · Nyu-York Siti 1:1 Toronto
2025-07-03 · Nyu-York Siti 3:1 Toronto
2025-04-26 · Nyu-York Siti 1:0 Toronto
2024-05-11 · Nyu-York Siti 3:2 Toronto
2024-03-16 · Nyu-York Siti 2:1 Toronto
Source: ruscore

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 1.68 (Winline) · X 4 (Winline) · 2 4.9 (Pari)
Bookmaker1X2
Pari 1.65 3.95 4.9
Winline 1.68 4 4.9
Fonbet 1.65 3.95 4.9
Betcity 1.67 4 4.7
Source: ruscore · line comparison

Match stats

52 Ball possession 48
14 Vsego udarov 10
5 Shots on target 5
5 Shots off target 4
12 Udary ot vorot 8
4 Blokirovannye udary 1
11 Shtrafnye 11
3 Corners 2
2 Offsides 2
19 Auty 26
4 Saves 4
11 Fouls 11
2 Cards total 4
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
0 Second yellows 0
1 Travmy 1
5 Substitutions 4
Source: ruscore
Connecticut FC
W W W W
26.07 20:00 UTC USA: MLS Nekst Pro Standings
Connecticut FC 2:1 Kolambus Kryu 2Kolambus Kryu 2
19.07 20:00 UTC USA: MLS Nekst Pro Standings
Connecticut FC 2:1 Nyu-York II
12.07 20:00 UTC USA: MLS Nekst Pro Standings
Connecticut FC 3:2 Toronto II
05.07 20:00 UTC USA: MLS Nekst Pro Standings
Connecticut FC 3:1 Carolina Core
4 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
2.5 Scored
1.3 Conceded
12 Points
Orlando City II
L L W D
26.07 21:00 UTC USA: MLS Nekst Pro Standings
Orlando City II 0:1 Huntsville
18.07 21:00 UTC USA: MLS Nekst Pro Standings
Orlando City II 1:8 Chattanugo
12.07 20:00 UTC USA: MLS Nekst Pro Standings
Orlando City II 2:1 Tsintsinnati 2
05.07 21:00 UTC USA: MLS Nekst Pro Standings
Orlando City II 1:1 Crown Legacy
1 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
2.8 Conceded
4 Points