USA. MLS Next Pro
New York City 2 take on Philadelphia Union 2 on August 1, 2026 in the USA. MLS Next Pro.
Recent form (W-D-L): New York City 2 2-1-2, Philadelphia Union 2 1-1-3. These sides have met 2 times recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. The bookmaker line makes New York City 2 the favourite at about 38%. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 39% to win — broadly in line with the market. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 New York City 2 — 39%
Pure model vs market (1 · New York City 2): model 47% · market 38% Δ +9 pp model estimates above the market
Model estimate: win New York City 2 38.9%, draw 24.4%, win Philadelphia Union 2 36.7%. Model favourite — New York City 2.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like New York City 2.
For reference
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | 10Bet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor | Dafabet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.35 42.6% | 2.35 42.6% | 2.32 43.1% | 2.30 43.5% | 2.40 41.7% | 2.43 41.2% | |
| X | 3.70 27.0% | 3.60 27.8% | 3.70 27.0% | 3.80 26.3% | 3.70 27.0% | 3.85 26.0% |
| 2.35 42.6% | 2.40 41.7% | 2.42 41.3% | 2.45 40.8% | 2.45 40.8% | 2.50 40.0% |
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 1.35 74.1% | 2.82 35.5% |
| yes | 2.90 34.5% | 1.38 72.5% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.21 82.6% | 1.24 80.7% | 3.85 26.0% |
| 1x | 1.35 74.1% | 1.39 71.9% | 1.05 95.2% |
| x2 | 1.54 64.9% | 1.60 62.5% | 1.08 92.6% |
| Outcome | 10Bet |
|---|---|
| 0_0 | 19.00 5.3% |
| 0_1 | 12.00 8.3% |
| 0_2 | 13.00 7.7% |
| 0_3 | 23.00 4.4% |
| 0_4 | 46.00 2.2% |
| 0_5 | 91.00 1.1% |
| 1_0 | 12.00 8.3% |
| 1_1 | 7.00 14.3% |
| 1_2 | 8.00 12.5% |
| 1_3 | 13.00 7.7% |
| 1_4 | 29.00 3.5% |
| 1_5 | 67.00 1.5% |
| 2_0 | 13.00 7.7% |
| 2_1 | 8.00 12.5% |
| 2_2 | 9.50 10.5% |
| 2_3 | 15.00 6.7% |
| 2_4 | 31.00 3.2% |
| 2_5 | 71.00 1.4% |
Philadelphia Union 2
Full head-to-head historyNew York City 2 - Philadelphia Union 2
The New York City 2 - Philadelphia Union 2 breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
