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USA. MLS Next Pro
USA. MLS Next Pro
02.08.2026 21:00 UTC
Finished

USA. MLS Next Pro

New York Red Bulls 2 - New England Revolution 2

Football
N
New York Red Bulls 2
1 : 4
Finished
N
New England Revolution 2

New York Red Bulls 2 face New England Revolution 2 on August 2, 2026 in the USA. MLS Next Pro.

Recent form (W-D-L): New York Red Bulls 2 1-1-3, New England Revolution 2 2-2-1. These sides have met 2 times recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. The market favourite is New York Red Bulls 2 at roughly 43%. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 42% to win — broadly in line with the market. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 New York Red Bulls 242%

Pure model vs market (1 · New York Red Bulls 2): model 31% · market 43% Δ −12 pp model estimates below the market

1 · New York Red Bulls 241.7%
X · draw25.1%
2 · New England Revolution 233.2%

Model estimate: win New York Red Bulls 2 41.7%, draw 25.1%, win New England Revolution 2 33.2%. Model favourite — New York Red Bulls 2.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2New England Revolution 2 (odds2.22) Score 0:1 confidence 50% ✓ outcome correct
  • Model backs Nyu-Inglend Revolyushn II: probability 50% vs 45% on the line (odds 2.22)
  • edge over the line +5 pp — value pick
  • Expected score 0:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction New York Red Bulls 2 - New England Revolution 2 August 2, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like New York Red Bulls 2.

Strongest: New York Red Bulls 2 - market and Glicko agree
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.12 / X 3.60 / 2 2.83
  • 1X2 market: New York Red Bulls 2 42.8% / X 25.2% / New England Revolution 2 32.0%
  • Glicko: New York Red Bulls 2 41.7% / X 25.1% / New England Revolution 2 33.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 10.3%
1 42.8%
X 25.2%
2 32.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

MLS Next Pro
League table
New York Red Bulls 2
#1131 ptsGP 209-4-740:32
New England Revolution 2
#933 ptsGP 199-6-428:22
Best price across 10 books
1 2.19 Pinnacle
X 3.75 Bet365
2 3.10 Unibet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
New York Red Bulls 2
W-D-L 2-2-6 Scored 1.60 Conceded 2.00 xG 1.93 xGA 1.58
New England Revolution 2
W-D-L 5-3-2 Scored 1.70 Conceded 1.40 xG 1.83 xGA 1.36

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
New York Red Bulls 2
Rating 1525 xG 1.64 Win 43%
New England Revolution 2
Rating 1566 xG 1.43 Win 33%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

New York Red Bulls 2 2 : 2 New England Revolution 2
12.14
X3.52
22.86

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 02.08.2026 21:00 UTC
Market 1 42.8% @ 2.12 / X 25.2% @ 3.60 / 2 32.0% @ 2.83
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model New York Red Bulls 2 42%
💹 Market New York Red Bulls 2 4282%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

New York Red Bulls 2 - New England Revolution 2

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Line
More needed
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

5/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 1:4
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
New York Red Bulls 2 42.4% 41.7% market and model agree
Draw 25.3% 25.1% draw risk
New England Revolution 2 32.3% 33.2%
xG - 1.64 : 1.43
1X2: 13 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 41.7% / 25.1% / 33.2% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,074 / 1,360 New York Red Bulls 2 / New England Revolution 2
RD 191 / 199 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 691-1,457 / 962-1,758 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.06 Fonbet · no value · model 33.2%
X 3.60 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 2.12 market consensus · no value · model 41.7%
Double chance
12 1.02 Fonbet · no value · model 74.9%
1X 6.90 Fonbet · weak value +360.7% · model 66.8%
X2 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 58.3%
Handicap
2 +0.5 1.53 market consensus · line only
2 0 1.01 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 2.34 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.63 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.11 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 5.10 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.30 Fonbet · line only
Yes 3.10 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet Bet365 Betano BetVictor Dafabet Marathonbet
2.15 46.5% 2.05 48.8% 2.15 46.5% 2.15 46.5% 2.18 45.9% 2.13 47.0%
X 3.70 27.0% 3.75 26.7% 3.50 28.6% 3.70 27.0% 3.70 27.0% 3.52 28.4%
2.62 38.2% 2.80 35.7% 2.80 35.7% 2.80 35.7% 2.95 33.9% 2.79 35.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.30 76.9% 2.74 36.5%
yes 3.10 32.3% 1.40 71.4%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.21 82.6% 1.24 80.7% 1.02 98.0%
1x 1.34 74.6% 1.38 72.5% 6.90 14.5%
x2 1.56 64.1% 1.62 61.7% 1.01 99.0%

Exact Score

Outcome 10Bet
0_0 17.00 5.9%
0_1 12.00 8.3%
0_2 15.00 6.7%
0_3 26.00 3.9%
0_4 56.00 1.8%
0_5 126.00 0.8%
1_0 11.00 9.1%
1_1 7.00 14.3%
1_2 9.00 11.1%
1_3 15.00 6.7%
1_4 34.00 2.9%
1_5 76.00 1.3%
2_0 12.00 8.3%
2_1 8.00 12.5%
2_2 9.50 10.5%
2_3 15.00 6.7%
2_4 34.00 2.9%
2_5 81.00 1.2%
Match center
New York Red Bulls 2
L L L D W
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New York Red Bulls 2 Connecticut United 2:1 New York Red Bulls 2
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New York Red Bulls 2 Chicago Fire 2 3:0 New York Red Bulls 2
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New York Red Bulls 2 Cincinnati 2 2:2 New York Red Bulls 2
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New York Red Bulls 2 New York Red Bulls 2 5:0 Philadelphia Union 2
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
1.6 Scored
2.0 Conceded
4 Points
New England Revolution 2
D W D L W
2026-07-26 MLS Next Pro 2026
Cincinnati 2 2:2 New England Revolution 2 New England Revolution 2
2026-07-23 MLS Next Pro 2026
New England Revolution 2 3:0 New York City 2 New England Revolution 2
2026-07-15 MLS Next Pro 2026
New England Revolution 2 2:2 Columbus Crew 2 New England Revolution 2
2026-07-05 MLS Next Pro 2026
New England Revolution 2 0:4 Philadelphia Union 2 New England Revolution 2
2026-06-28 MLS Next Pro 2026
FC Toronto 2 1:3 New England Revolution 2 New England Revolution 2
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.8 Conceded
8 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyNew York Red Bulls 2 - New England Revolution 2

New York Red Bulls 2
2 matches total
New England Revolution 2
New York Red Bulls 2: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
New England Revolution 2: 2 (100%)
Biggest win New England Revolution 2 2:1 (2026-06-14) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (2:1, 2026-06-14) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 2
2 Goals conceded 1

Match history

2026-06-14 MLS Next Pro 2026
New England Revolution 2 2:1 New York Red Bulls 2
14.06 17:00 UTC USA: MLS Nekst Pro Standings
Nyu-York II
1:2
Nyu-Inglend Revolyushn II