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AI verdict

AI pick Los Angeles win probability ~70% confidence High best odds 13.00

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Los Angeles. Full breakdown below.

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USA. MLS. Outrights
USA. MLS. Outrights
Cup lig MLS + MX. 3-y Round 13.08.2026 02:30 UTC Match prediction
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
13.08.2026 02:30 UTC Cup lig MLS + MX. 3-y Round
Finished

USA. MLS. Outrights

Los Angeles - Queretaro

Football
Stadium BMO Stadium
Los Angeles
Los Angeles
1 : 1
Finished
Queretaro
Queretaro

Los Angeles go head-to-head with Queretaro on August 13, 2026 in the USA. MLS. Outrights.

Recent form (W-D-L): Los Angeles 4-1-0, Queretaro 2-0-3. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 70% to win. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Los Angeles — 70%

1 · Los Angeles ✓ Pick70.4%
market 71%
X · draw18.0%
market 18%
2 · Queretaro11.7%
market 11%

Model estimate: win Los Angeles 70.4%, draw 18.0%, win Queretaro 11.7%. Model favourite — Los Angeles.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown
AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Los Angeles (odds1.35) Score 2:0 confidence 61% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Model backs Los-Andzheles FK: probability 61% vs 74% on the line (odds 1.35)
  • • no edge over the line (-13 pp) — informational only
  • • Expected score 2:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Los Angeles - Queretaro August 13, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like draw.

Line favourite Fonbet: draw. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 13.00 / X 1.05 / 2 8.40
  • Glicko: Los Angeles 70.4% / X 18.0% / Queretaro 11.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.3% 3 books
1 ✓ Pick 70.7%
X 18.1%
2 11.3%

Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 1 1.32 ↓ 1.30
1X2 X 5.20 ↑ 5.30
1X2 2 8.50 ↑ 9.00

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Injuries and absences
Igor Dzhesus — Travmirovan

Source: gismo_stats

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Los Angeles
71%
13.00
Draw
18%
5.60
Queretaro
11%
31.00
Total
Over 3.5
46%
7.60
Under 3.5
54%
1.74
Both teams to score
Yes
55%
1.70
No
45%
3.55

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Absences

Injuries and absences

Los Angeles
  • Igor DzhesusOut
Queretaro
No absences

Injury and absence data - for reference.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Los Angeles 3 : 1 Queretaro
11.27
X5.65
29.15

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Participant opinions
16 predictions Choose an outcome
1 100% 16
X 0% 0
2 0% 0
Match center
Stadium BMO Stadium
Start 13.08.2026 02:30 UTC
Market 1 6.7% @ 13.00 / X 82.9% @ 1.05 / 2 10.4% @ 8.40
Weather +23°C solnechno Season North i Tsentralnaya Amerika: Cup lig 2026 Los-Andzheles FK
🥊 Humans vs Machines
👥 Community Los Angeles 100%
📐 Math model Los Angeles 70%
💹 Market Los Angeles 71%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
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Match center

Los Angeles - Queretaro

Itogovyy protokol i rezultaty vstrechi Los-Andzheles - Keretaro, 13 avgusta 2026. Highlights i statistika matcha, Correct score. Cup lig MLS + MX, Cup lig MLS + MX. 3-y Round. Los-Andzheles - Keretaro, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matcha.

Lineups 11/11 probable starting lineup
Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
Post-match / SStats
Score 1:1
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 70.4% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.181 / LogLoss 1.716
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 70.4% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.181 / LogLoss 1.716
Glicko-2: public filter Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 70.4% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.181 / LogLoss 1.716
Glicko-2: precision filter Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 70.4% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.181 / LogLoss 1.716
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Los Angeles 70.9% 70.4% market and model agree
Draw 17.9% 18.0% draw risk
Queretaro 11.3% 11.7%
1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 70.4% / 18.0% / 11.7% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,811 / 1,304 Adelaide Comets (r) / Queretaro
RD 219 / 184 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,374-2,249 / 936-1,672 strength interval

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 8.07 market consensus · no value · model 11.7%
X 1.05 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.32 market consensus · no value · model 70.4%
Double chance
12 9.00 Fonbet · weak value +638.2% · model 82.0%
1X 1.03 Fonbet · no value · model 88.3%
X2 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 29.6%
Handicap
2 -1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 7.00 Fonbet · line only
2 0 5.00 Fonbet · line only
1 +1 1.05 Fonbet · line only
Total
Under 2.5 1.02 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 3.55 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.25 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 3.55 28.2% 2.12 47.2%
yes 1.25 80.0% 1.70 58.8%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.12 89.3% 1.14 87.7% 9.00 11.1%
1x 1.03 97.1% 1.05 95.2% 1.03 97.1%
x2 3.10 32.3% 3.10 32.3% 1.01 99.0%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
1.70 58.8%
X 2.87 34.8%
7.00 14.3%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1.5 2.03 49.3%
Under 1.5 1.71 58.5%
Match center
4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1
1 Ugo Loris 21 Rayan Rapozo 5 Rayan Porteus 91 Nkosi Berdzhess 4 Eddi Segura 22 J. Terry 66 Mate Shuaner 8 Marko Delgado 18 Dzheykob Shaffelburg 7 Son Khyn Min 99 Buanga Deni 25 G. Allison 24 B. Duarte 13 Diego Reyes 2 L. Abascia 27 Daniel Parra 4 Karlo Adriano 5 Santyago Khomenchenko 16 E. Giménez 20 A. Alcalá 12 Paulo Victor 9 A. Ávila
Los Angeles
Formation 4-2-3-1
Probable starting lineup
1 ULUgo Loris Ugo Loris
21 RRRayan Rapozo Rayan Rapozo
5 RPRayan Porteus Rayan Porteus
91 NBNkosi Berdzhess Nkosi Berdzhess
4 ESEddi Segura Eddi Segura
22 JTJ. Terry J. Terry
66 MSMate Shuaner Mate Shuaner
8 MDMarko Delgado Marko Delgado
18 DSDzheykob Shaffelburg Dzheykob Shaffelburg
7 SKSon Khyn Min Son Khyn Min
99 BDBuanga Deni Buanga Deni
Head coach Mark dos Santos
Queretaro
Formation 4-2-3-1
Probable starting lineup
25 GAG. Allison G. Allison
24 BDB. Duarte B. Duarte
13 DRDiego Reyes Diego Reyes
2 LAL. Abascia L. Abascia
27 DPDaniel Parra Daniel Parra
4 KAKarlo Adriano Karlo Adriano
5 SKSantyago Khomenchenko Santyago Khomenchenko
16 EGE. Giménez E. Giménez
20 AAA. Alcalá A. Alcalá
12 PVPaulo Victor Paulo Victor
9 AÁA. Ávila A. Ávila
Los Angeles

No home-team absences found in the prematch data.

Queretaro

No away-team absences found in the prematch data.

Formations 4-2-3-1 / 4-2-3-1
SStats Market - Form - Bookmakers - Movement
Match center
Los Angeles Team form Queretaro
10 Matches 10
20 Goals 13
2.0 Per match 1.3
7 Wins 5
1 Draws 2
2 Losses 3

Form & head-to-head

H2H 0-1-0, avg 2.0 gls
2026-08-13 · Los-Andzheles 1:1 Keretaro
Source: ruscore

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 1.38 (Pari) · X 5.2 (Winline) · 2 7.3 (Betcity)
Bookmaker1X2
Pari 1.38 5.1 6.8
Winline 1.37 5.2 6.4
Fonbet 1.38 5.1 6.8
Betcity 1.36 5.2 7.3
Source: ruscore · line comparison

Match stats

63 Ball possession 37
16 Vsego udarov 9
5 Shots on target 5
9 Shots off target 3
3 Udary ot vorot 14
2 Blokirovannye udary 1
18 Shtrafnye 11
11 Corners 1
3 Offsides 2
12 Auty 6
4 Saves 4
8 Fouls 16
2 Cards total 2
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
0 Second yellows 0
0 Travmy 2
5 Substitutions 5
Source: ruscore
Los Angeles
W D D W W
2026-08-09 Leagues Cup 2026, Liga MX
Los Angeles Toluca 0:1 Los Angeles
2026-08-06 Leagues Cup 2026, Liga MX
Los Angeles Los Angeles 1:1 Chivas Guadalajara
2026-08-01 MLS 2026
Los Angeles Vancouver Whitecaps 1:1 Los Angeles
2026-07-26 MLS 2026
Los Angeles Los Angeles 4:0 Sporting Kansas City
2026-07-23 MLS 2026
Los Angeles Los Angeles 3:1 Real Salt Lake
3 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
0.6 Conceded
11 Points
Queretaro
L L W W L
2026-08-09 Leagues Cup 2026, Liga MX
Seattle Sounders 3:0 Queretaro Queretaro
2026-08-06 Leagues Cup 2026, Liga MX
Dallas 2:0 Queretaro Queretaro
2026-08-01 Liga MX 26/27, Apertura
Queretaro 3:2 Tigres Monterrey Queretaro
2026-07-27 Liga MX 26/27, Apertura
Pachuca 1:2 Queretaro Queretaro
2026-07-19 Liga MX 26/27, Apertura
Queretaro 0:1 Club America Queretaro
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.8 Conceded
6 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLos Angeles - Queretaro

Los Angeles
0 matches total
Queretaro
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Los Angeles
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Queretaro
Los Angeles Team comparison Queretaro
2 Games 2
2 Wins 0
0 Draws 0
0 Losses 2
2 Scored 0
1 Conceded 5
6 Points 0
0 Attacks 0
0 Dangerous attacks 0
0 Big chances 0
0 Shots on goal 0
0 Udary v stvor 0
2 Games 2
2 Wins 0
0 Draws 0
0 Losses 2
2 Scored 0
1 Conceded 5

Los Angeles Keretaro 2 Games 2 Wins 0 Draws 0 Losses 2 Scored 0 1 Conceded 5 6 Points 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 Shots on goal 0 Udary v stvor 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 Uglovye 0 Offsaydy 0 Foly 0 % vladeniya myachom 0 Warnings 0 Sendoffs 0 Goly Ali Ávila Vega 0:1 12' Deni Buanga 1 57' Poslematchevye penalti Deni Buanga 1:0 Ali Ávila Vega 1 Son Khyn Min 2:1 Santyago Khomenchenko 2 Evgeniy Cheberko 3:2 Diego Reyes 3 Rayan Khollingskhed 4:3 Daniel Parra 4:3 Rayan Porteus 5:3 Rezultaty golosovaniya Result v osnovnoe vremya 80% 7% 13% Double chance 44% 46% 10% Materialy po prognozam «Sporting Kanzas-Siti» — «Los Angeles». Karlos Vela popravit statistiku «Los Angeles» — «Khyuston Dynamo». Karlos Vela poka spravlyaetsya CHAMP('pageBlockSlider'); CHAMP({ name: 'commentsWidget', params: { appId: CHAMP.comments['appId'], xid: 'match_1330498' } }); CHAMP('tournamentTabs'); CHAMP('swipingTabs'); CHAMP('match'); CHAMP('stickyVertical'); Cup lig MLS + MX Turnirnaya Standings

Recent form

Los Angeles WWWDWW
Queretaro LLLWWL

Standings

# PWDL+/-Pts
1Leon330039
2America220046
2Toluca320146
4Cruz Azul220026
5Monterrey320116
6Juarez320106
7Tigres303006
8Guadalajara311104
9Pachuca3102-23
9Santos Laguna3102-23
11Atlas3102-33
12Atlante3102-53
13San Luis3012-51
14Pumas UNAM3012-51
14Queretaro3012-51
16Tijuana de Caliente2002-30
17Necaxa2002-40
18Puebla3003-70

Sportradar · Winline StatsHub

More predictions

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Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Los Angeles vs Queretaro?

By the PropickAI model, draw is favoured — about 70% win probability.

What does PropickAI predict for Los Angeles vs Queretaro?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to draw. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

When does Los Angeles vs Queretaro start?

August 13, 2026.